‘election forecast’ tag

Gwern Branwen

See Also
Gwern
- “Prediction Markets”, Gwern 2009
- “2012 Election Predictions”, Gwern 2012
Links
- “Disentangling Bias and Variance in Election Polls”, Shirani-Mehr et al 2018
- “The Long History of Political Betting Markets: An International Perspective”, Rhode & Strumpf 2013
Miscellaneous

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Gwern

“Prediction Markets”, Gwern 2009

Prediction Markets

“2012 Election Predictions”, Gwern 2012

2012 election predictions

Links

“Disentangling Bias and Variance in Election Polls”, Shirani-Mehr et al 2018

Disentangling Bias and Variance in Election Polls

“The Long History of Political Betting Markets: An International Perspective”, Rhode & Strumpf 2013

The Long History of Political Betting Markets: An International Perspective

Miscellaneous

/doc/statistics/prediction/election/2012-gwern-notes.txt⁠:

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/doc/statistics/prediction/election/2012-gwern-notes.txt
/doc/statistics/prediction/election/2012-linzer-statewinprob.csv⁠:

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/doc/statistics/prediction/election/2012-linzer-statewinprob.csv
/doc/statistics/prediction/election/2012-presidential.csv⁠:

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/doc/statistics/prediction/election/2012-presidential.csv
/doc/statistics/prediction/election/2012-senatemargin.csv⁠:

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/doc/statistics/prediction/election/2012-senatemargin.csv
/doc/statistics/prediction/election/2012-senatewin.csv⁠:

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/doc/statistics/prediction/election/2012-senatewin.csv
/doc/statistics/prediction/election/2012-statemargin.csv⁠:

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/doc/statistics/prediction/election/2012-statemargin.csv
/doc/statistics/prediction/election/2012-statewin.csv⁠:

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/doc/statistics/prediction/election/2012-statewin.csv
https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/mantic-monday-51324⁠:

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/doc/www/www.astralcodexten.com/6988258fa33b299999e7ff003a8d2a2b5ccc46fd.html

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