|
az |
ca |
ct |
de |
fl |
hi |
indiana |
me |
md |
ma |
mi |
mn |
ms |
mo |
mt |
ne |
nv |
nj |
nm |
ny |
nd |
oh |
pa |
ri |
tn |
tx |
ut |
vt |
va |
wa |
wv |
wi |
wy |
Reality |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
Nate Silver |
0.04 |
1 |
0.96 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0.7 |
0.93 |
1 |
0.94 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0.98 |
0.34 |
0.01 |
0.17 |
1 |
0.97 |
1 |
0.08 |
0.97 |
0.99 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0.88 |
1 |
0.92 |
0.79 |
0 |
Intrade |
0.225 |
0.998 |
0.888 |
0.99 |
0.859 |
0.96 |
0.85 |
0.957 |
0.96 |
0.786 |
0.95 |
0.95 |
0 |
0.703 |
0.371 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.96 |
0.95 |
1 |
0.155 |
0.84 |
0.86 |
0.99 |
0 |
0.025 |
0 |
0.05 |
0.78 |
0.96 |
0.951 |
0.626 |
0 |
Wang & Ferguson |
0.12 |
0.95 |
0.998 |
0.95 |
0.95 |
0.95 |
0.84 |
0.95 |
0.95 |
0.96 |
0.96 |
0.95 |
0.05 |
0.96 |
0.69 |
0.05 |
0.27 |
0.95 |
0.95 |
0.95 |
0.75 |
0.95 |
0.95 |
0.95 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.96 |
0.95 |
0.95 |
0.72 |
0.05 |