| al | ak | az | ar | ca | co | ct | de | dc | fl | ga | hi | id | il | indiana | ia | ks | ky | la | me | md | ma | mi | mn | ms | mo | mt | ne | nv | nh | nj | nm | ny | nc | nd | oh | ok | or | pa | ri | sc | sd | tn | tx | ut | vt | va | wa | wv | wi | wy | |
| Reality | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Nate Silver | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.99 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 0 | 0.93 | 0.85 | 1 | 0.99 | 1 | 0.26 | 0 | 0.91 | 0 | 1 | 0.99 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.79 | 1 | 0 | 0.97 | 0 |
| Drew Linzer | 0 | 0.000086 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.98333 | 1 | 0.98333 | NA | 0.604 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.9966 | 0.03866 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.078666667 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.999333333 | 0.998 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.085333333 | 0 | 0.998666667 | 0 | 0.998666667 | 1 | 1 | 0.138666667 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.976 | 1 | 0.001333333 | 1 | 0.000666667 |
| Margin of Error | 0.0269 | 0.0998 | 0.4388 | 0.0451000000000001 | 0.9443 | 0.6471 | 0.9125 | 0.9377 | 1 | 0.4575 | 0.1972 | 0.9987 | 0.00859999999999999 | 0.9569 | 0.3273 | 0.6467 | 0.0970999999999999 | 0.0191 | 0.0442 | 0.8403 | 0.96837 | 0.8988 | 0.6837 | 0.7149 | 0.1347 | 0.4473 | 0.2436 | 0.0562 | 0.771 | 0.6886 | 0.8647 | 0.8579 | 0.9697 | 0.5003 | 0.1284 | 0.6038 | 0.00290000000000006 | 0.7886 | 0.7562 | 0.9684 | 0.1345 | 0.1665 | 0.0531 | 0.0545 | 0.00349999999999994 | 0.9846 | 0.5046 | 0.8473 | 0.0427 | 0.6448 | 0.00689999999999998 |
| Intrade | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 0 | 0.95 | 0.556 | 0.99 | 0.96 | 0.975 | 0.33 | 0.03 | 0.975 | 0 | 0.989 | 0.02 | 0.663 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.93 | 0.94 | 0.995 | 0.884 | 0.849 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0 | 0.837 | 0.649 | 0.979 | 0.939 | 0.95 | 0.23 | 0.003 | 0.655 | 0.001 | 0.959 | 0.82 | 0.95 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.045 | 0.98 | 0.58 | 0.975 | 0.02 | 0.746 | 0 |
| DeSart | 0 | 0.09 | 0.039 | 0 | 1 | 0.523 | 0.999 | 1 | 1 | 0.491 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.002 | 0.77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.993 | 1 | 1 | 0.935 | 0.961 | 0 | 0.052 | 0.008 | 0 | 0.768 | 0.756 | 0.998 | 0.974 | 1 | 0.066 | 0 | 0.704 | 0 | 0.943 | 0.881 | 1 | 0.003 | 0.001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.998 | 0 | 0.856 | 0 |
| Simon Jackman | 0.0052 | 0 | 0.005 | 0 | 1 | 0.7652 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.5216 | 0.0014 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.8376 | 0 | 0.000004 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.9998 | 0.9992 | 0 | 0.000004 | 0.0032 | 0 | 0.912 | 0.8324 | 0.9998 | 0.9968 | 1 | 0.2812 | 0 | 0.9298 | 0 | 0.9726 | 0.991 | 1 | 0.129 | 0.0068 | 0.000004 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.784 | 1 | 0.0054 | 0.9698 | 0 |
| Wang & Ferguson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.84 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.84 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.99 | 0.84 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.16 | 0 | 0.93 | 0 | 1 | 0.93 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.84 | 1 | 0 | 0.99 | 0 |
| Josh Putnam | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| Unskewed Polls | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |