al	ak	az	ar	ca	co	ct	de	dc	fl	ga	hi	id	il	indiana	ia	ks	ky	la	me	md	ma	mi	mn	ms	mo	mt	ne	nv	nh	nj	nm	ny	nc	nd	oh	ok	or	pa	ri	sc	sd	tn	tx	ut	vt	va	wa	wv	wi	wy
Reality	38.4282881053	40.7925268243	44.4485486823	36.8789903017	59.694549836	51.5653629087	58.3827410486	58.6107419846	90.9140202301	50.0078650687	45.4821604851	70.5452303559	32.6223335592	57.533224085	44.0834545272	51.9882007466	37.8272061553	37.8099351787	40.5774636233	55.9635196092	61.9741907793	60.7488630812	54.3039149353	52.6497019789	43.5486197843	44.3496236982	41.7081325475	37.8680546324	52.3562494704	51.9826818636	57.8593885616	52.9954681815	62.6246125776	48.3509685771	38.697310889	50.1432299873	33.227680257	54.3001551752	51.7583368592	62.7009588633	44.0880334074	39.8661407584	39.0737715271	41.3637078156	24.7325061287	66.5705503024	51.1564567962	56.1394118242	35.5063077823	52.8019085177	27.8188877424
2008	38.8	37.7	45	38.8	60.9	53.5	60.5	61.9	92.9	50.9	47	71.8	36.1	61.8	49.9	54	41.4	41.1	39.9	57.6	61.9	62	57.4	54.2	42.8	49.3	47.2	41.5	55.1	54.3	56.8	56.7	62.2	49.9	44.7	51.2	34.4	57.1	54.7	63.1	44.9	44.7	41.8	43.8	34.2	67.8	52.7	57.5	42.6	56.3	32.7
Nate Silver	36.7	38.6	46.2	38.6	58.1	50.8	56.6	59.6	93	49.8	45.5	66.5	32.1	59.8	45.3	51.1	37.9	40.3	39.3	55.9	60.9	59	53	53.7	45.6	45.6	45.2	40.4	51.8	51.4	55.5	54.1	62.4	48.9	42	51.3	33.8	53.6	52.5	61.8	43.2	42.5	41.4	41.2	27.8	66.2	50.7	56.2	41.3	52.4	30.9
Drew Linzer	40.3	37.5	46.2	37.1	59.8	51.2	56.8	61	NA	50.2	46	65.6	31.2	60.2	44.3	51.6	41.1	45.1	39.7	56.4	61.3	60	52.7	54.2	41.8	45.3	45.3	42.5	52.2	51.6	56.6	54.4	63.2	49.1	41.7	51.6	33.5	53.6	52.7	63.1	44.3	44.8	43.3	41.4	26.7	70.5	51.1	57.1	42.8	52.5	32
Margin of Error	37	41	49	39	61	53	59	60	91	49	44	70	35	61	47	52	41	36	39	57	62	58	53	54	43	49	45	40	55	53	57	57	62	50	43	52	31	55	55	62	43	44	39	39	31	64	50	57	38	52	33
Josh Putnam	NA	NA	46.595	NA	58.395	50.875	55.92	NA	NA	50.08	45.38	NA	NA	59.58	44.365	51.275	NA	NA	43.065	56.17	60.645	56.17	52.785	53.765	NA	45.925	45.465	NA	52.025	51.515	56.18	54.565	62.51	49.22	NA	51.47	NA	NA	52.845	NA	NA	44.79	43.935	42.44	27.31	NA	50.895	56.68	NA	52.305	NA
Unskewed Polls	37.78	36.4	43.95	44.68	57.65	49.48	54.55	86.88	57.4	47.6	43.2	58.55	30.95	55.25	41.9	49.88	36.6	40.8	43.63	51.9	55.83	60.1	51.75	51.03	39.83	46.2	38.8	34.4	52.15	50.03	53.8	53.53	58.75	44.98	37.15	47.75	35.55	50.53	50.28	59.73	41.58	39.88	43.7	39.85	28.75	56.53	48.88	51.43	44.55	49.98	30.55
Intrade	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA
Simon Jackman	38.7	NA	46.1	36.4	58.6	51	56.8	NA	91.6	50.1	45.5	65	32	59.6	44.8	51.4	NA	40.9	38.9	56	61	59.7	53.6	54	NA	45.3	46	42.8	51.9	51.3	56	54.4	62.7	49.2	43	51.9	34.5	53.1	53.1	62.8	44.8	44.9	44	40.8	26.9	68.8	51	56.5	41.5	52.5	NA
DeSart	35.2	32.2	46.4	38.7	59.2	50.1	57.7	60.5	95.8	49.9	45.5	66.6	29.1	60.8	43.1	51.8	39.4	41.9	39.3	55.9	61.9	62.8	53.7	54.3	40	46.1	44.2	39.8	51.8	51.7	57.1	54.7	64.6	47.7	40.1	51.3	35.4	53.8	52.9	65.2	43.3	42.7	41.3	40.7	25.9	70.7	50.1	57.1	39.8	52.6	30.1
Wang & Ferguson	42.5	39	46	38	57.5	51	56.5	62.5	90	50	46	63.5	32	59.5	43.5	51	41.5	44.5	43.5	55.5	61	59.5	52.75	53.75	44	45.25	45.75	43	52.5	51	56	53	62	49	43	51.5	35.5	53	51.5	62	47	44.5	44.5	42	27.5	65.5	51	57	41.5	52.25	34