August 2019 Gwern.net newsletter with 2 short essays, a major new site features, and links on AI, progress, and technology; 1 short book review, and 2 long movie reviews on ‘Gone with the Wind’ and ‘Shin Godzilla’.
August 2019’s Gwern.net newsletter is now out; previous, July 2019 (archives). This is a collation of links and summary of major changes, overlapping with my Changelog; brought to you by my donors on Patreon.
Writings
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Gwern.net:
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popups.js
: a new JS library which reads link annotations and displays them in a popup (eg. WP displays title/summary, and papers display title/author/date/abstract); works on mobile; generalizes & obsoleteswikipedia-popups.js
:popups.js
reads static annotations, removing the runtime spam, and importantly, annotations are now cached at compile-time, so additional sources can be included. It currently provides link annotations for Arxiv, bioRxiv, Pubmed Central, PLOS, Crossref, Gwern.net, and hand-written annotations, in-popup YouTube video support, with a fallback to Chrome/Ghostscript-generated screenshot previews for all other URLs -
added more custom-SVG/text link icons for link icons (custom: arXiv/BioRxiv (unofficial), Google Scholar, Pubmed, Internet Archive, Guardian, NYT, New Yorker, Washington Post, DeepMind, OpenAI, MIRI, Erowid)
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Media
Links
Genetics:
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Everything Is Heritable:
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“Large-scale GWAS reveals insights into the genetic architecture of same-sex sexual behavior”, et al 2019 (as expected, except for the genetic heterogeneity between homosexuality & bisexuality?)
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Recent Evolution:
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Engineering:
AI:
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“Reward Tampering Problems and Solutions in Reinforcement Learning: A Causal Influence Diagram Perspective”, 2019 (blog: “Designing agent incentives to avoid reward tampering”; LW)
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“Has dynamic programming improved decision making?”, 2018 (some case-studies)
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Matters Of Scale:
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LM news: MegatronLM, Nvidia (training a GPT-2-8.3B (!), which overfits on their dataset); “GPT-2: 6-Month Follow-Up”, OpenAI (release of GPT-2-774M); “OpenGPT-2: We Replicated GPT-2 Because You Can Too”, 2019 (public release of an independently-trained GPT-2-1.5b model)
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Statistics/Meta-Science:
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“We Need a New Science of Progress: Humanity needs to get better at knowing how to get better”, Patrick Collison & Tyler Cowen
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“Is the FDA Too Conservative or Too Aggressive?: A Bayesian Decision Analysis of Clinical Trial Design”, et al 2019
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The Gambler’s Fallacy in action at the Monte Carlo Casino, 1893-08-18
Politics/religion:
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“How Gullible are We? A Review of the Evidence from Psychology and Social Science”, 2017
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“Mass Shootings: Definitions and Trends”, RAND 2018 (what do statistics like “there were 371 mass shootings in 2015” actually mean?)
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“Dying the Christian Science way: the horror of my father’s last days; The anti-medical dogma of Christian Science led my father to an agonising death. Now the church itself is in decline—and it can’t happen fast enough” (what happens to the large real estate holdings & other assets of a tax-exempt religion which is disappearing?)
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“Why Men Love War”, 1984
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Review: From Third World to First: The Singapore Story—1965–35200024ya, by Lee Kuan Yew: part 1/, 2: “You are free to agree”, 3: “Race, language, and uncomfortable questions”, 4: “The pathway to power”
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“Peter Thiel’s Religion”, David Perell (highly speculative but interesting)
Psychology/biology:
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“A Silent Childhood”, Rymer 199232ya (on the Genie child abuse case & origin of language; Genie’s cognitive profile—strong nonverbal skills, weak verbal/social—reminds me of chimpanzee vs children)
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“What the voice inside your head says about you: We tend to assume that our internal monologue ‘speaks’ in words—but it turns out that, for many of us, it’s much more complicated” (see also “Toward a phenomenology of inner speaking”, Hurlburt et al 201311ya; “The varieties of inner speech: Links between quality of inner speech and psychopathological variables in a sample of young adults”, McCarthy-Jones & Fernyhough 201113ya)
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“The Generative Adversarial Brain”, 2019 (on the origins of psychiatric disorders)
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“Logarithmic Scales of Pleasure and Pain: Rating, Ranking, and Comparing Peak Experiences Suggest the Existence of Long Tails for Bliss and Suffering”, Qualia Computing
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“The Devil’s Bait: Symptoms, signs, and the riddle of Morgellons”; “Maybe It’s Lyme: What happens when illness becomes an identity?”
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“The Efficacy of Modafinil as a Cognitive Enhancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis”, et al 2019
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“Features of a successful therapeutic fast of 382 days’ duration”, 1973
Technology:
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“Atchafalaya”, John McPhee 198737ya (on the Old River Control Structure & ultimately doomed attempt to keep the Mississippi River in place)
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“Hard Drive of Hearing: Disks that Eavesdrop with a Synthesized Microphone”, et al 2019
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“The Road to Clarity” (on the creation of the since-controversial Clearview highway font)
Economics:
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“The Launch: Inside the ‘largest launch of a produce item in American history’” (more on apple breeding & selling: the Cosmic Crisp apple; finally became available in my area in late 2020—I thought they were decent enough, pretty, but too sweet and uncompetitively priced compared to Honeycrisp/SweeTango)
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“Can You Indemnify Against Dick Pics? The rise of scandal insurance in Hollywood”
Philosophy:
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“Consider the Lobster: For 56 years, the Maine Lobster Festival has been drawing crowds with the promise of sun, fun, and fine food. One visitor would argue that the celebration involves a whole lot more”, David Foster Wallace 2004
Fiction:
Misc:
Books
Fiction:
Film/TV
Live-action:
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Gone with the Wind (193985ya; review)
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Shin Godzilla (2016; review)