January 2022 Gwern.net newsletter with links on TODO
January 2022’s Gwern.net newsletter is now out; previous, 2021 (archives). This is a collation of links and summary of major changes, overlapping with my Changelog; brought to you by my donors on Patreon.
Writings
Links
AI
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Examples of capability phase-transitions; discussion: et al 2022 , et al 2022
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“Performance reserves in brain-imaging-based phenotype prediction”, et al 2022; “Reproducible brain-wide association studies require thousands of individuals”, et al 2022
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“CM3: A Causal Masked Multimodal Model of the Internet”, et al 2022 (a native-HTML language model generating both HTML & images inside HTML pages)
Genetics
Everything Is Heritable:
Recent Evolution:
Engineering:
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“Fundamental behaviors emerge from simulations of a living minimal cell”, et al 2022
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“Virgin Birth: A genetic basis for facultative parthenogenesis”, et al 2022 (genetically engineering fruit flies partially capable of clonal reproduction)
Statistics/Meta-Science
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“Causal and Associational Language in Observational Health Research: A systematic evaluation”, et al 2021 (expert readers usually do think correlation = causation)
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“A 680,000-person megastudy of nudges to encourage vaccination in pharmacies”, et al 2022 (layman much better at prediction of rankings than scientists; all massively overestimate vaccination rate); “Megastudies improve the impact of applied behavioral science”, et al 2021 (experts unable to predict gym-attendance interventions)
Politics/Religion
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“Criminalizing Poverty: The Consequences of Court Fees in a Randomized Experiment”, et al 2022 (“relief from fees does not affect new criminal charges, convictions, or jail bookings after 12 months.”)
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“Quantifying Bias from Measurable & Unmeasurable Confounders Across 3 Domains of Individual Determinants of Political Preferences”, Ahlskog & Oskarsson (observed correlates are at least half confounded on average)
Psychology/Biology
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“Life at low Reynolds number”, Purcell 197747ya (the challenges of motion when very small)
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“Australian Magpies (Gymnorhina tibicen) cooperate to remove tracking devices”, et al 2022 (birds are smart, but trapped in their niche)
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“Assessing cats’ (Felis catus) sensitivity to human pointing gestures”, 2022 (like copying actions, some cats are smart enough to, dog-like, understand pointing)
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“A ‘Trip’ to the Intensive Care Unit: An Intravenous Injection of Psilocybin”, et al 2021 (the scourge of microdosing claims another victim); “Earl Grey tea intoxication”, Finsterer 200222ya (more proof black tea = worst tea)
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Operation Sailor Hat (“The remaining crater left by the blast is called the Sailor’s Hat crater and holds an anchialine pool containing Halocaridina rubra shrimp (Brock & Bailey-1998)” which are salt-tolerant)
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Chick sexing with jizz
Technology
Economics
Philosophy
Fiction
Miscellaneous
Books
Nonfiction:
Fiction:
Film/TV
Live-action:
Animated: