The Good Judgment Project
Results
Season 1 Results for User 2844/Group 3c Your total earnings for 84 out of 85 closed forecasts is 15,744. You were ranked 28 among the 204 forecasters in Group 3c. Specific results for closed questions: |
Forecasting Question | Date Opened | Date Closed | Result | Your Earnings | Your Group's Average | |
#1001 | Will the Six-Party talks (among the... | 09/01/2011 | 01/03/2012 | No | 500 | 24 |
#1002 | Who will be inaugurated as President... | 09/01/2011 | 05/06/2012 | Putin | 245 | 36 |
#1003 | Will Serbia be officially granted EU... | 09/01/2011 | 01/03/2012 | No | 500 | -24 |
#1004 | Will the United Nations General Assembly... | 09/01/2011 | 09/30/2011 | No | 500 | 76 |
#1005 | Will Daniel Ortega win another term... | 09/01/2011 | 11/05/2011 | Yes | 250 | 36 |
#1006 | Will Italy restructure or default on... | 09/01/2011 | 01/03/2012 | No | 500 | -9 |
#1008 | By 31 December 2011, will the World... | 09/01/2011 | 12/16/2011 | Yes | -500 | 114 |
#1009 | By 1 January 2012 will the Iraqi government... | 09/01/2011 | 01/03/2012 | No | 377 | 123 |
#1010 | Will the 30 Sept 2011 "last"... | 09/07/2011 | 09/30/2011 | No | 50 | 58 |
#1011 | Will the Nikkei 225 index finish trading... | 09/07/2011 | 09/29/2011 | No | 100 | 61 |
#1012 | Will Italy's Silvio Berlusconi resign,... | 09/07/2011 | 09/30/2011 | No | 150 | 42 |
#1013 | Will the London Gold Market Fixing price... | 09/07/2011 | 09/30/2011 | No | -500 | 178 |
#1014 | Who will win the September 2011 Guatemalan... | 09/07/2011 | 09/10/2011 | Other or Run-Off | 100 | 67 |
#1015 | Will Israel's ambassador be formally... | 09/07/2011 | 09/30/2011 | No | 500 | 24 |
#1016 | Will PM Donald Tusk's Civic Platform... | 09/07/2011 | 10/08/2011 | Yes | 50 | 10 |
#1017 | Will Robert Mugabe cease to be President... | 09/07/2011 | 09/30/2011 | No | -500 | 52 |
#1018 | Will Muqtada al-Sadr formally withdraw... | 09/07/2011 | 09/30/2011 | No | 300 | 32 |
#1020 | Will peace talks between Israel and... | 10/04/2011 | 11/01/2011 | No | 500 | 117 |
#1021 | Will the expansion of the European bailout... | 10/04/2011 | 10/13/2011 | Yes | -300 | 42 |
#1022 | Will the South African government grant... | 10/04/2011 | 10/06/2011 | No | 400 | 156 |
#1023 | Will former Ukrainian Prime Minister... | 10/04/2011 | 10/10/2011 | Yes | 100 | 71 |
#1024 | Will Abdoulaye Wade win re-election... | 10/04/2011 | 03/25/2012 | No | -200 | -76 |
#1025 | Will the Freedom and Justice Party win... | 10/04/2011 | 01/20/2012 | Yes | 400 | 52 |
#1026 | Will Joseph Kabila remain president... | 10/04/2011 | 01/31/2012 | Yes | 100 | 35 |
#1027 | Who will win the January 2012 Taiwan... | 10/04/2011 | 01/13/2012 | Ma Ying-jeou (KMT candidate) | 400 | 51 |
#1028 | Will Moody's issue a new downgrade of... | 10/04/2011 | 11/30/2011 | No | 113 | 19 |
#1030 | Will the UN Security Council pass a... | 10/04/2011 | 10/31/2011 | No | 329 | 148 |
#1031 | Will the U.S. Congress pass a joint... | 10/04/2011 | 10/21/2011 | No | 200 | 58 |
#1032 | Will the Japanese government formally... | 10/04/2011 | 11/30/2011 | No | 306 | 135 |
#1033 | Will the Tunisian Ennahda party officially... | 11/08/2011 | 11/15/2011 | No | -100 | 234 |
#1034 | Will Japan officially become a member... | 11/08/2011 | 02/29/2012 | No | 400 | 31 |
#1035 | Will the United Nations Security Council... | 11/08/2011 | 04/01/2012 | No | 500 | -4 |
#1036 | Will media reports indicate that Iraq... | 11/08/2011 | 05/31/2012 | No | 400 | 25 |
#1037 | Will Greece remain a member of the EU... | 11/08/2011 | 06/01/2012 | Yes | -100 | -70 |
#1038 | Will Hamad bin Isa al-Khalifa remain... | 11/08/2011 | 01/31/2012 | Yes | 300 | 125 |
#1039 | Will Bashar al-Assad remain President... | 11/08/2011 | 01/31/2012 | Yes | 635 | 34 |
#1041 | Will Italy's Silvio Berlusconi resign,... | 11/08/2011 | 11/12/2011 | Yes | 189 | 303 |
#1042 | Will Lucas Papademos be the next Prime... | 11/08/2011 | 11/10/2011 | Yes | -200 | 186 |
#1043 | Will Lucas Papademos resign, lose re-election/confidence... | 12/12/2011 | 02/29/2012 | No | -200 | -139 |
#1044 | Will the United Kingdom's Tehran embassy... | 12/12/2011 | 02/29/2012 | No | 400 | 160 |
#1045 | Will a trial for Saif al-Islam Gaddafi... | 12/12/2011 | 03/31/2012 | No | -150 | 97 |
#1046 | Will Australia formally transfer Uranium... | 12/14/2011 | 06/01/2012 | No | 100 | -100 |
#1048 | Will S&P downgrade the AAA long-term... | 12/14/2011 | 01/16/2012 | Yes | 100 | 136 |
#1049 | Will Asif Ali Zardari resign, lose re-election/confidence... | 12/14/2011 | 05/31/2012 | No | 300 | -11 |
#1050 | Will the next Palestinian general election... | 12/19/2011 | 06/01/2012 | No | 100 | 33 |
#1052 | Will Aung San Suu Kyi be sworn in or... | 12/19/2011 | 05/02/2012 | Yes | 250 | -3 |
#1054 | Will a North Korean or multinational... | 12/19/2011 | 05/31/2012 | No | 300 | 240 |
#1055 | Will North Korea successfully detonate... | 01/09/2012 | 04/01/2012 | No | 200 | 27 |
#1058 | By 1 April 2012, will Egypt officially... | 01/09/2012 | 04/01/2012 | No | 600 | 73 |
#1059 | Will Kim Jong-un attend an official,... | 01/09/2012 | 03/31/2012 | No | 500 | 67 |
#1060 | Will Christian Wulff resign or vacate... | 01/09/2012 | 02/16/2012 | Yes | -100 | -80 |
#1062 | Will the daily Europe Brent Crude FOB... | 01/09/2012 | 04/02/2012 | No | 600 | 21 |
#1063 | Will the Taliban begin official* in-person... | 01/23/2012 | 04/01/2012 | No | 400 | 59 |
#1064 | Will Yousaf Raza Gillani resign, lose... | 01/23/2012 | 03/31/2012 | No | 200 | -67 |
#1066 | Will Yemen's next presidential election... | 01/23/2012 | 02/20/2012 | Yes | 350 | -42 |
#1067 | Will Traian Basescu resign, lose referendum... | 01/23/2012 | 03/31/2012 | No | 250 | -41 |
#1068 | Will the UN Security Council pass a... | 01/23/2012 | 03/31/2012 | No | 100 | -52 |
#1069 | Before 1 April 2012, will South Korea... | 01/23/2012 | 03/31/2012 | No | 100 | 269 |
#1070 | Will Israel release Palestinian politician... | 01/23/2012 | 02/29/2012 | No | -100 | -1 |
#1071 | Will Iran and the U.S. commence official... | 01/30/2012 | 03/31/2012 | No | 300 | 7 |
#1072 | Will Serbia be officially granted EU... | 01/30/2012 | 03/01/2012 | Yes | -100 | -51 |
#1073 | Will the IMF officially announce before... | 01/30/2012 | 03/31/2012 | No | 100 | 17 |
#1074 | Will Libyan government forces regain... | 01/30/2012 | 02/05/2012 | No | -150 | -89 |
#1075 | Will a run-off be required in the 2012... | 01/30/2012 | 03/04/2012 | No | 200 | 134 |
#1076 | Will the Iraqi government officially... | 01/30/2012 | 03/31/2012 | No | 300 | 1 |
#1077 | Will Egypt officially announce by 15... | 01/30/2012 | 02/15/2012 | No | 100 | 44 |
#1078 | Will a Japanese whaling ship enter Australia's... | 02/07/2012 | 04/10/2012 | No | 50 | -30 |
#1079 | Who will win the 2012 Venezuela presidential... | 02/07/2012 | 02/12/2012 | Henrique Capriles Radonski | 400 | 117 |
#1082 | Will William Ruto cease to be a candidate... | 02/07/2012 | 04/09/2012 | No | 300 | -22 |
#1083 | Will Marine LePen cease to be a candidate... | 02/07/2012 | 04/09/2012 | No | 200 | 22 |
#1085 | Between 21 February 2012 and 1 April... | 02/21/2012 | 04/01/2012 | No | 150 | -25 |
#1086 | Will Mohamed Waheed Hussain Manik resign... | 02/21/2012 | 04/09/2012 | No | 100 | 382 |
#1087 | Will Amr Moussa win the next Egyptian... | 02/21/2012 | 05/29/2012 | No | -50 | -77 |
#1088 | Will Japan commence parliamentary elections... | 02/21/2012 | 03/31/2012 | No | 300 | -130 |
#1090 | Before 13 April 2012, will the Turkish... | 02/21/2012 | 04/12/2012 | No | 350 | 51 |
#1091 | Will Standard and Poor's downgrade Japan's... | 02/21/2012 | 04/01/2012 | No | 300 | 160 |
#1092 | Will Myanmar release at least 100 more... | 02/21/2012 | 04/01/2012 | No | 100 | -99 |
#1096 | Will a civil war break out in Syria... | 02/21/2012 | 04/01/2012 | No | -100 | -18 |
#1097 | Will Tunisia officially announce an... | 03/05/2012 | 03/31/2012 | Yes | 300 | -356 |
#1099 | Before 1 April 2012, will Al-Saadi Gaddafi... | 03/05/2012 | 03/31/2012 | No | 100 | 2 |
#1101 | Will Laurent Lamothe be ratified as... | 03/05/2012 | 03/31/2012 | No, but he will remain the nominee | 200 | -13 |
#1102 | Will Ireland ratify the European Fiscal... | 03/05/2012 | 06/01/2012 | Yes | 350 | -177 |
#1103 | Before 1 April 2012, will the Sudan... | 03/05/2012 | 03/31/2012 | No | 250 | 38 |
#1104 | Will Yemeni government forces regain... | 03/05/2012 | 03/31/2012 | No | 400 | 1 |