Gender |
Age |
Race |
Professional Field |
Professional Status |
Degree Status |
Relationship Status |
Political Views |
Religious Views |
Religious Background |
Religious Background 2 |
IQ |
OB posts |
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
Time in Community |
Time per day |
LW Karma |
Probability: MWI |
Probability: Aliens |
Probability: Aliens 2 |
Probability: God |
Probability: God 2 |
Probability: Supernatural |
Probability: Cryonics |
Probability: Anti-Agathics |
Probability: Simulation |
Three Worlds Ending |
Robin vs. Eliezer Singularity |
Singularity: Year |
Classic Prisoner's Dilemma |
Eliezer's "True" Prisoner's Dilemma |
Probability: High IQ |
Private |
Counterfactual Mugging |
Existential Risk 2 |
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
Cryonics |
Participation |
Moral value |
Probability: Global Warming |
Expertise |
Probability: Existential Risk |
Charity |
Moral Views |
Calibration 1 |
Calibration 2 |
Male |
19 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
None / Decline to answer, equivalent of high school |
Student |
equivalent of high school degree |
Single (and looking) |
Socialist (for example Scandinavian countries; socially permissive, high taxes and major redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was above average religiosity |
Lutheran |
|
80 |
. |
18 |
100 |
15 |
55 |
90 |
80 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
40 |
50 |
2 |
Superhappies reprogram the human utility function |
Robin's: Whole brain emulations gradually reaching singularity status |
2070 |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
Defect |
|
|
Give Omega $100 |
Pandemic (bioengineered) |
. |
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Brain-dead adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
90 |
Philosophy |
75 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1700 |
3 |
Male |
26 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
|
B. S. |
Married |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Labour; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was less religious than average |
Christian |
130 |
95 |
. |
29 |
30 |
|
85 |
99 |
98 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
99 |
50 |
Superhappies reprogram the human utility function |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2031 |
Cooperate |
Defect |
40 |
|
Give Omega $100 |
Unfriendly AI |
. |
No, and don't plan to |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
99 |
Economics, Energy/pollution/environment, AI, Philosophy |
30 |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1780 |
5 |
Male |
26 |
Asian |
Other Hard Sciences |
Other non-profit work |
Ph. D. |
In a relationship |
Not quite figured out |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was extremely religious |
Hinduism |
|
25 |
|
4 |
1 |
14 |
|
|
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
0.1 |
0.00001 |
|
No preference / Didn't read it |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2082 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
|
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
Nuclear war |
|
Yes |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Brain-dead adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Embryos, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
1 |
|
99 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1790 |
1 |
Male |
22 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Student |
B. S. |
Single (but not looking) |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Labour; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was less religious than average |
Roman Catholic |
155 |
90 |
|
32 |
30 |
165 |
40 |
100 |
100 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
2 |
0 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
50 |
|
Give Omega $100 |
Pandemic (bioengineered) |
|
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses |
80 |
Economics, Philosophy |
90 |
No opinion |
whimsicalist |
1800 |
15 |
Male |
34 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
B. S. |
Married |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Christian/Anglican |
140 |
95 |
|
27 |
30 |
70 |
95 |
100-1e-110 |
99 |
0.0000001 |
0.00000001 |
0.00001 |
60 |
75 |
0.01 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2025 |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
Defect |
68 |
|
Don't |
Unfriendly AI |
|
No, but considering it |
Entrepreneurship |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Embryos, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
99.99 |
Economics, World affairs, Energy/pollution/environment, Philosophy |
60 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1810 |
5 |
Male |
16 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other Social Sciences, Other Hard Sciences |
Student |
None |
Single (but not looking) |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was less religious than average |
Christian |
173+ (SB L-M) |
3.% |
|
4 |
60 |
17 |
|
99 |
60 |
1 |
0.1 |
5 |
85 |
80 |
50 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2030 |
Cooperate |
Defect |
75 |
|
Give Omega $100 |
Unfriendly AI |
|
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
90 |
Economics, Math and Physics, AI, Biology and Medicine, Psychology and Neurology, Philosophy |
85 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist ignorant of Eliezer's interpretation |
1825 |
10 |
Male |
36 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
B. S. |
Married |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was explicitly atheist |
|
140 |
100 |
|
12 |
20 |
11 |
80 |
99.99 |
99.99 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
1 |
50 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
60 |
|
Give Omega $100 |
Asteroid strike |
|
No, and don't plan to |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
70 |
Math and Physics |
99.99 |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1840 |
5 |
Male |
45 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
None |
Married |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
episcopalian |
130 |
25 |
|
12 |
15 |
|
50 |
99 |
95 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
50 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
|
Defect |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
50 |
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
Pandemic (bioengineered) |
|
No, and don't plan to |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
50 |
Economics, Math and Physics |
90 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1840 |
50 |
Male |
22 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Artificial Intelligence, Other computing |
Academic (on the teaching end, not the student end) |
Masters |
In a relationship |
Socialist (for example Scandinavian countries; socially permissive, high taxes and major redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Roman Catholic |
|
12 |
|
6 |
50 |
6 |
I refuse to answer on the grounds that "more or less correct" seems ill-defined. |
100 |
99.9999995 |
|
0 |
|
7 |
60 |
0 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2040 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
|
|
Don't |
Asteroid strike |
|
No, and don't plan to |
Political debate, Political activism, Technology, Entrepreneurship |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
85 |
Economics, World affairs, Law, Energy/pollution/environment, Math and Physics, AI, Biology and Medicine, Psychology and Neurology, Philosophy |
95 |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
Deontologist |
1840 |
1.5 |
Male |
21 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other Hard Sciences |
Student |
B. S. |
Single (and looking) |
Socialist (for example Scandinavian countries; socially permissive, high taxes and major redistribution of wealth) |
Agnostic |
Family was less religious than average |
Protestant |
|
10.% |
|
5 |
5 |
|
10 |
75 |
50 |
50 |
0 |
|
1 |
1 |
50 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2250 |
Cooperate |
Defect |
|
|
Don't |
Pandemic (natural) |
|
No, never thought about it |
Political debate, Technology, Entrepreneurship |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Brain-dead adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Embryos, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
95 |
Economics, World affairs, Energy/pollution/environment, Math and Physics, AI |
90 |
True, for most normal charities (eg UNICEF) |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1840 |
7 |
Male |
26 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
B. S. |
Single (and looking) |
Welfare Capitalist |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was less religious than average |
Protestants |
|
3.% |
. |
3 |
45 |
8 |
30.% |
90.% |
30.% |
0.% |
0.% |
0.% |
10.% |
30.% |
30.% |
No preference / Didn't read it |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2060 |
Cooperate |
Defect |
|
|
Don't |
Pandemic (natural) |
. |
No, and don't plan to |
|
My moral system doesn't work like this, or I choose not to answer |
90.% |
|
98.% |
No opinion |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1840 |
1.% |
Male |
19 |
Asian |
Psychology |
Student |
B. S. |
Single (but not looking) |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
138 |
all of eliezer's, most of robin's |
|
6 |
20-30 |
1 |
|
1 |
0.00000001 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
90 |
99 |
50 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2035 |
Cooperate |
Defect |
60 |
|
Give Omega $100 |
Unfriendly AI |
. |
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Brain-dead adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps) |
75 |
Psychology and Neurology |
50 |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1840 |
20 |
Male |
17 |
Hispanic |
None / Decline to answer |
Student |
None |
Single (and looking) |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Labour; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Catholic |
136 |
5 |
|
16 |
5 |
|
10 |
99 |
80 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
99 |
7 |
19 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
|
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
69 |
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
Nuclear war |
|
No, never thought about it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
72 |
|
88 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
|
1845 |
10 |
Male |
26 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Statistics |
Student |
Ph. D. |
In a relationship |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was extremely religious |
Protestant |
|
|
|
0 |
0 |
|
50 |
99.999 |
98 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
50 |
0 |
1 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
|
Defect |
Defect |
|
|
Don't |
Asteroid strike |
|
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Embryos |
0 |
World affairs, Math and Physics |
99.9 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1850 |
1 |
Male |
24 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing, Other Hard Sciences |
Other non-profit work |
B. S. |
Single (but not looking) |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was explicitly atheist |
|
155 |
100% of Eliezer, 50% of Robin |
|
18 |
40 |
15 |
99 |
80 |
40 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
30 |
40 |
5 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2060 |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
50 |
|
Give Omega $100 |
Unfriendly AI |
|
No, but considering it |
Technology |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
80 |
Math and Physics, AI |
70 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1850 |
10 |
Male |
23 |
Asian |
Other computing |
Student |
Masters |
Single (and looking) |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
145 |
800 |
|
16 |
30 |
|
|
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
10 |
|
No preference / Didn't read it |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
2200 |
Defect |
Defect |
60 |
|
Don't |
Nuclear war |
|
No, but considering it |
Atheism |
My moral system doesn't work like this, or I choose not to answer |
99 |
Math and Physics |
50 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
|
1850 |
10 |
Male |
27 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
|
Student |
Masters |
Single (and looking) |
|
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was extremely religious |
Catholic |
|
10.% |
|
6 |
30 |
|
40 |
0.001 (for nonterrestrial intelligent life) |
1E-12 |
infinitesimal^2 but nonzero |
infinitesimal^3 but nonzero |
infinitesimal but nonzero |
30.% |
90.% |
30.% |
Superhappies reprogram the human utility function |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2060 |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
|
|
Give Omega $100 |
Unfriendly AI |
|
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
90.% |
|
70.% |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
|
1850 |
15.% |
Male |
30 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
B. S. |
Single (and looking) |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, but "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
140 |
40 |
. |
12 |
10 |
|
20 |
50 |
20 |
50 |
60 |
50 |
20 |
10 |
10 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2800 |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
50 |
|
Give Omega $100 |
Pandemic (natural) |
. |
No, and don't plan to |
Skepticism, Political debate, Spirituality/Religion |
My moral system doesn't work like this, or I choose not to answer |
60 |
Economics, Math and Physics, Psychology and Neurology, Philosophy |
70 |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1850 |
20 |
Male |
28 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other Hard Sciences |
Student |
B. A. |
Single (and looking) |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Tories; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Christian |
|
50 |
. |
16 |
30 |
|
75 |
90 |
5 |
10 |
1 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
10 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2150 |
Defect |
Defect |
|
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
Nuclear war |
. |
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps) |
80 |
Economics, World affairs, Energy/pollution/environment, Biology and Medicine, Philosophy |
80 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1850 |
5 |
Male |
22 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other Hard Sciences |
Student |
Ph. D. |
In a relationship |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
|
100 |
|
24 |
30 |
6 |
40 |
99 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
1 |
|
Superhappies reprogram the human utility function |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2200 |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
Defect |
|
|
Don't |
Asteroid strike |
. |
No, but considering it |
Atheism |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans |
90 |
Math and Physics |
90 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Something like consequentialism, but don't remember the 'generic interpretation' to remember how it differs from Eliezer's and to decide which one best describes me |
1850 |
10 |
Male |
23 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other Hard Sciences |
Student |
Ph. D. |
Single (and looking) |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was less religious than average |
Jewish |
140 |
4 |
|
8 |
20 |
22 |
70 |
80 |
10 |
5 |
1 |
0 |
5 |
50 |
1 |
Superhappies reprogram the human utility function |
Robin's: Whole brain emulations gradually reaching singularity status |
2035 |
Cooperate |
Defect |
40 |
|
Don't |
Unfriendly AI |
|
No, and don't plan to |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps) |
30 |
Math and Physics |
50 |
No opinion |
Don't believe in morality |
1850 |
1 |
Male |
20 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Electrician |
Other for-profit work |
None |
Single (but not looking) |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Labour; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Lutheran |
|
80.% |
|
24 |
20 |
5 |
90 |
99 |
50 |
1 |
0.01 |
1 |
90 |
80 |
50 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2040 |
Cooperate |
Defect |
|
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
Pandemic (natural) |
|
No, but considering it |
Technology |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants |
90 |
|
20 |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1850 |
30 |
Male |
22 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other Hard Sciences |
Student |
Masters |
In a relationship |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
|
80 |
. |
24 |
20 |
|
80 |
|
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
50 |
5 |
|
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2100 |
Defect |
Defect |
|
|
Give Omega $100 |
Unfriendly AI |
. |
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans |
50 |
Math and Physics |
90 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1850 |
8 |
Male |
24 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Student |
Masters |
Single (and looking) |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Catholic |
|
15 |
|
8 |
35 |
6 |
75 |
99.9 |
95 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
50 |
10 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2045 |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
|
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
Unfriendly AI |
|
No, but considering it |
Political debate, Technology, Entrepreneurship |
My moral system doesn't work like this, or I choose not to answer |
90 |
|
95 |
True, for most normal charities (eg UNICEF) |
Don't believe in morality |
1850 |
10 |
Female |
28 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Philosophy, Artificial Intelligence, a math BA; some competence there. |
Other non-profit work |
B. S. |
Single (and looking) |
high error bars; also nearly indifferent compared to axes that more directly impact existential risk. |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
152+ |
0.85 |
|
19 |
60 |
800 |
|
5 |
1 [assuming you exclude other Earth animals; otherwise 20] |
4 |
0.005 |
2.5 |
8 |
13 |
80 |
|
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2050 |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
58 |
|
Give Omega $100 |
Unfriendly AI |
|
No, but considering it |
Transhumanism |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
85 |
AI, Psychology and Neurology, Philosophy |
17 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1855 |
21 |
Male |
22 |
|
Other computing |
Unemployed |
Masters |
Single (and looking) |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Tories; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
|
70 |
|
18 |
45 |
445 |
70 |
90 |
60 |
5 |
1 |
20 |
25 |
40 |
50 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Robin's: Whole brain emulations gradually reaching singularity status |
2050 |
Cooperate |
Defect |
|
|
Give Omega $100 |
Pandemic (natural) |
|
No, but considering it |
Technology |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants |
90 |
Economics, World affairs, Law, Energy/pollution/environment, Math and Physics, AI, Psychology and Neurology, Philosophy |
60 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
An action is immoral iff to a disintersted observer with all relevant information, it signals a tendency to defect in PD-like situations |
1860 |
15 |
Male |
18 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Student |
B. S. |
Single (and looking) |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Tories; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
|
60% read all eliezers |
. |
1 year |
20 minutes |
23 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0.8 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
Superhappies reprogram the human utility function |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2070 |
Cooperate |
Defect |
|
|
Don't |
Nanotechnology/"Grey goo" |
. |
No, but considering it |
Atheism, Skepticism, Political debate |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants |
0.95 |
Philosophy |
0.7 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1860 |
30.% |
Male |
24 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other Hard Sciences |
Student |
Masters |
Single (and looking) |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Labour; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Lukewarm theist |
Family was extremely religious |
Evangelical Christian |
|
70 |
|
24 |
10 |
|
75 |
25 |
1 |
25 |
25 |
1 |
5 |
30 |
20 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2060 |
Cooperate |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
45 |
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
Nanotechnology/"Grey goo" |
|
No, and don't plan to |
Spirituality/Religion |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Brain-dead adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Embryos, Higher primates (eg chimps) |
60 |
Energy/pollution/environment, Math and Physics |
45 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1865 |
45 |
Male |
25 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
mathematics (why isn't that there?) |
Student |
Ph. D. |
Single (and looking) |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
160 |
50 |
|
18 |
40 |
89 |
98 |
1 |
0.1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0.1 |
0 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
|
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
60 |
|
Don't |
Environmental catastrophe (eg global warming) |
|
No, but considering it |
Atheism |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Embryos, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
99 |
Economics, Energy/pollution/environment, Math and Physics, Biology and Medicine, Psychology and Neurology, Philosophy |
95 |
True, for most normal charities (eg UNICEF) |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1865 |
10 |
Male |
28 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other Social Sciences |
Academic (on the teaching end, not the student end) |
Masters |
Single (and looking) |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
Lutheran |
140 |
95 |
|
28 |
40 |
10 |
90 |
|
|
1 |
0.01 |
10 |
40 |
40 |
5 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Robin's: Whole brain emulations gradually reaching singularity status |
2150 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
40 |
|
Give Omega $100 |
Asteroid strike |
|
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
65 |
Economics, Math and Physics |
99.5 |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1870 |
40 |
Male |
32 |
middle east |
engineering |
Other for-profit work |
Ph. D. |
Married |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Labour; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was less religious than average |
islam |
140 |
20 |
|
6 |
20 |
0 |
10 |
40 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
10 |
10 |
Superhappies reprogram the human utility function |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2100 |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
20 |
|
Give Omega $100 |
Environmental catastrophe (eg global warming) |
|
No, and don't plan to |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps) |
80 |
|
80 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Deontologist |
1870 |
20 |
Male |
20 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Psychology |
Student |
B. S. |
Single (and looking) |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Labour; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
|
10-20% |
. |
16 |
20 |
20 |
|
0.1 |
0.001 |
0.0001 |
0 |
0.001 |
0.01 |
1 |
0.0001 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
2120 |
Cooperate |
Defect |
|
|
Don't |
Nuclear war |
. |
No, and don't plan to |
|
My moral system doesn't work like this, or I choose not to answer |
60 |
Psychology and Neurology |
80 |
True, for most normal charities (eg UNICEF) |
Don't believe in morality |
1870 |
10 |
Male |
29 |
|
Other Hard Sciences |
Student |
Ph. D. |
Single (and looking) |
Socialist (for example Scandinavian countries; socially permissive, high taxes and major redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was less religious than average |
Jewish |
171 |
90% (read RSS feed; skim some) |
. |
~7 |
15 |
15 |
99 |
100 |
98 |
1 |
0 (discounting Buddhism and similar) |
15 (would involve some anthropic quirk of MWI) |
50 |
90 |
0/100 (both possibilities are jointly realised) |
No preference / Didn't read it |
Robin's: Whole brain emulations gradually reaching singularity status |
2040 |
Cooperate |
Defect |
90 |
|
Don't |
Environmental catastrophe (eg global warming) |
. |
No, and don't plan to |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
95 |
Math and Physics, Biology and Medicine, Philosophy |
70 |
True, for most normal charities (eg UNICEF) |
Deontologist |
1870 |
10 |
Male |
23 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
B. S. |
Single (and looking) |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Labour; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Non-denominational Christian |
|
100 |
. |
16 |
30 |
26 |
60 |
10 |
0.001 |
0.0000001 |
0 |
0.0001 |
20 |
40 |
50 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2060 |
Defect |
Cooperate |
|
|
Give Omega $100 |
Pandemic (bioengineered) |
. |
No, but considering it |
Atheism, Skepticism, Political debate |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
90 |
Math and Physics |
33 |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1870 |
30 |
Male |
23 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Economics/Finance |
Other for-profit work |
B. S. |
Single (and looking) |
|
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
catholic |
|
30 |
|
9 |
30 |
0 |
1 |
10 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
1000000 |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
Defect |
10 |
|
Don't |
Pandemic (bioengineered) |
|
No, but considering it |
Entrepreneurship |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Infants |
20 |
Economics |
80 |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1870 |
1 |
Male |
25 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other Hard Sciences |
Unemployed |
Masters |
Single (and looking) |
part libertarian, part communism |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was less religious than average |
Catholicism |
|
55 ; 90 % Eliezer, 20 % Robin |
|
24 |
30 |
186 |
|
100 |
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
100 |
100 |
|
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2070 |
Cooperate |
Defect |
|
|
Don't |
Pandemic (bioengineered) |
|
No, but considering it |
Transhumanism |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
90 |
Biology and Medicine, Psychology and Neurology, Philosophy |
90 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Eliezer's consequentialism, but with more selfishness |
1875 |
33 |
Male |
18 |
Human |
Philosophy, Psychology, Other Social Sciences |
Student |
B. S. |
Single (but not looking) |
|
Agnostic |
Family was less religious than average |
Christian |
141 |
25.% |
|
3 |
20-30 |
|
85.% |
35.% |
5.% |
0.% |
16.% |
5.% |
50.% |
85.% |
32.% |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Robin's: Whole brain emulations gradually reaching singularity status |
2050 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
75.% |
|
Don't |
Pandemic (bioengineered) |
|
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants |
85.% |
World affairs, Philosophy |
90.% |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1875 |
25.% |
Male |
44 |
Human |
Business |
Other for-profit work |
Masters |
Married |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Labour; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
132 |
10 |
|
6 |
7 |
5 |
65 |
99 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
1 |
1 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
Robin's: Whole brain emulations gradually reaching singularity status |
2250 |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
Defect |
50 |
|
Don't |
Pandemic (bioengineered) |
|
No, and don't plan to |
Atheism, Skepticism, Political debate, Technology, Entrepreneurship |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
75 |
Economics, World affairs, Law, Energy/pollution/environment |
99 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1875 |
50 |
Male |
25 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Student |
Masters |
Single (and looking) |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Labour; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Christianity |
|
90.% |
|
12 |
30 |
|
|
|
|
<0.1% |
<0.1% |
<0.1% |
5.% |
25.% |
|
Superhappies reprogram the human utility function |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2100 |
Defect |
|
|
|
Give Omega $100 |
Pandemic (bioengineered) |
|
No, but considering it |
Transhumanism, Pick up artists |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Brain-dead adult humans, Infants |
75.% |
|
50.% |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1875 |
20.% |
Male |
21 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other Social Sciences |
Student |
None |
Single (and looking) |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Labour; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Roman-Catholic |
|
10 |
|
12 |
15 |
12 |
50 |
98 |
98 |
0.01 |
0 |
0.02 |
0.5 |
5 |
0.02 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
|
Defect |
Defect |
|
|
Don't |
Nuclear war |
|
No, and don't plan to |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps) |
90 |
World affairs, Energy/pollution/environment |
70 |
True, for most normal charities (eg UNICEF) |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1875 |
12 |
Male |
27 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
Masters |
Single (and looking) |
|
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
|
5 |
. |
5 |
20 |
0 |
|
75 |
50 |
5 |
0 |
5 |
2 |
30 |
5 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2100(-50)(+200) |
Cooperate |
Defect |
|
|
Don't |
Asteroid strike |
. |
No, and don't plan to |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
70 |
Economics, World affairs, Energy/pollution/environment, Math and Physics, AI, Philosophy |
70 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Insufficient categorisation |
1875 |
25.% |
Male |
45 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
None |
Single (but not looking) |
I'm probably nearer to "Libertarian" than the other choices I'm allowed, but this should probably be split into multiple questions |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Church of England |
140 |
40 |
. |
12 |
45 |
20 |
50 |
0.01 |
0 |
0 |
|
0 |
25 |
50 |
|
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2050 |
Cooperate |
Defect |
60 |
|
Don't |
Unfriendly AI |
|
No, but considering it |
Political activism, Technology, Entrepreneurship |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
90 |
Economics, World affairs, Law, Energy/pollution/environment, Math and Physics, AI, Biology and Medicine, Psychology and Neurology |
75 |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
|
1875 |
20 |
Male |
21 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Mathematics |
Student |
None |
Single (but not looking) |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Tories; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
Christianity |
|
|
. |
2 |
15 |
|
|
1> |
|
0.001 |
1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
Superhappies reprogram the human utility function |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2050 |
Cooperate |
Defect |
|
|
Give Omega $100 |
Asteroid strike |
. |
No, and don't plan to |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps) |
|
|
|
True, for most normal charities (eg UNICEF) |
Deontologist |
1875 |
12 |
Male |
22 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
None / Decline to answer |
Student |
B.A. |
Single (but not looking) |
Socialist (for example Scandinavian countries; socially permissive, high taxes and major redistribution of wealth) |
Agnostic |
Family was nonreligious |
|
|
50.% |
. |
18 |
30 |
|
10 |
90 |
50 |
20 |
10 |
30 |
20 |
5 |
10 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
|
Cooperate |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
|
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
Nuclear war |
. |
No, and don't plan to |
Political debate, Entrepreneurship |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants |
66 |
World affairs, Philosophy |
90 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Deontologist |
1876 |
25 |
Male |
24 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
B. S. |
Single (and looking) |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Labour; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was explicitly atheist |
|
140 |
80 |
|
24 |
10 |
0 |
50 |
60 |
10 |
0.01 |
10 |
1 |
10 |
15 |
15 |
Superhappies reprogram the human utility function |
Robin's: Whole brain emulations gradually reaching singularity status |
2300 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
50 |
|
Give Omega $100 |
Environmental catastrophe (eg global warming) |
|
No, and don't plan to |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
85 |
|
75 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1876 |
15 |
Male |
28 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
Masters |
Married |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Christian |
132 |
85%: All of Eliezer's, and most of Robin's |
|
18 |
25 |
|
|
80 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
30 |
1 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2100 |
Defect |
Defect |
85 |
|
Don't |
Pandemic (bioengineered) |
|
No, but considering it |
Atheism, Skepticism |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
85 |
Economics |
70 |
No opinion |
|
1878 |
15 |
Male |
24 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Mathematics Education |
Academic (on the teaching end, not the student end) |
B. S. |
Single (but not looking) |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Labour; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Church of England |
133 |
25.% |
|
3 months |
30 |
|
87 |
50 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0 |
0.01 |
16.666666666 |
99 |
0.01 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2065 |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
2 |
|
Give Omega $100 |
Environmental catastrophe (eg global warming) |
|
No, but considering it |
Skepticism, Political debate, Technology |
My moral system doesn't work like this, or I choose not to answer |
79 |
Economics, Math and Physics, Philosophy |
75 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1878 |
15 |
Male |
40 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Academic (on the teaching end, not the student end) |
Masters |
Single (but not looking) |
Conservative (for example US Republicans or UK Tories; support "traditional" values, low taxes, low redistribution of wealth) |
Agnostic |
Family was about average religiousity |
|
154 |
0 |
|
1 |
12 |
0 |
20 |
60 |
5 |
1 |
0.2 |
1 |
1 |
8 |
99 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2062 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
55 |
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
Pandemic (bioengineered) |
|
No, and don't plan to |
Skepticism |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
80 |
Math and Physics, Biology and Medicine, Philosophy |
20 |
True, for most normal charities (eg UNICEF) |
solipsist |
1879 |
100 |
Male |
27 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
B. S. |
Married |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
138 |
10 |
|
8 |
20 |
|
85 |
100 |
90 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
40 |
10 |
0 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2100 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
70 |
|
Don't |
Pandemic (bioengineered) |
|
Yes |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps) |
80 |
|
70 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1879 |
80 |
Male |
27 |
Hispanic |
Artificial Intelligence |
Other for-profit work |
None |
In a relationship |
Anarchist |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Catholic |
145 |
70.% |
|
18 |
15 |
61 |
80 |
95 |
50 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
10 |
50 |
1 |
Superhappies reprogram the human utility function |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2020 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
75 |
|
Don't |
Nuclear war |
|
No, but considering it |
Atheism, Political activism, Technology, Transhumanism |
My moral system doesn't work like this, or I choose not to answer |
90 |
Economics, Energy/pollution/environment, AI, Biology and Medicine, Psychology and Neurology |
80 |
True, for most normal charities (eg UNICEF) |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1879 |
90 |
Male |
42 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
|
Other for-profit work |
B. S. |
Married |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Labour; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
160 |
20 |
|
12 |
5 |
|
1 |
99.9999 |
99.99 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
10 |
50 |
1 |
|
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2100 |
Cooperate |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
90 |
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
|
|
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants |
90 |
Economics, World affairs, Energy/pollution/environment, Math and Physics, AI, Philosophy |
99 |
No opinion |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1879 |
99 |
Male |
38 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
Ph. D. |
Married |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was less religious than average |
Christian |
|
90 |
|
28 |
20 |
7 |
70 |
100 |
90 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
50 |
60 |
20 |
Superhappies reprogram the human utility function |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2040 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
|
|
Give Omega $100 |
Unfriendly AI |
|
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
99 |
|
60 |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1879 |
90 |
Male |
32 |
|
Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
B. S. |
In a relationship |
Socialist (for example Scandinavian countries; socially permissive, high taxes and major redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was explicitly atheist |
|
|
|
|
18 |
30 |
|
99 |
99 |
30 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
50 |
99 |
|
No preference / Didn't read it |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
1998 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
|
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
|
|
No, and don't plan to |
|
My moral system doesn't work like this, or I choose not to answer |
|
|
|
No opinion |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1879 |
20 |
Male |
32 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
None |
Married |
Socialist (for example Scandinavian countries; socially permissive, high taxes and major redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was extremely religious |
Christian |
142 |
10 |
|
10 |
15 |
|
40 |
1 |
0.0001 |
0.0001 |
0.0001 |
0.0001 |
5 |
1 |
0.0001 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
Robin's: Whole brain emulations gradually reaching singularity status |
2200 |
Cooperate |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
50 |
|
Don't |
Environmental catastrophe (eg global warming) |
|
No, never thought about it |
Atheism, Skepticism, Political debate, Technology |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
80 |
|
95 |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1879 |
50 |
Male |
23 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Artificial Intelligence, Other computing, Other Hard Sciences |
Other for-profit work |
autodidact, currently seeking admission for Ph.D. |
Single (but not looking) |
not political |
Committed theist |
Family was extremely religious |
Christian |
180 |
5.% |
|
3 |
5 |
|
20 |
irrelevant |
irrelevant |
unprovable |
unprovable |
irrelevant |
impossible to tell |
impossible to tell |
irrelevant |
No preference / Didn't read it |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
100 |
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
Pandemic (bioengineered) |
|
No, and don't plan to |
Technology, Entrepreneurship |
My moral system doesn't work like this, or I choose not to answer |
100 |
Math and Physics, AI, Biology and Medicine |
0 |
No opinion |
I'm a Christian figure it out |
1880 |
98 |
Male |
19 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
None / Decline to answer |
Student |
B. S. |
Single (and looking) |
Socialist (for example Scandinavian countries; socially permissive, high taxes and major redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
|
25 |
|
8 |
30 |
|
5 |
100 |
75 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
0 |
meaningless |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2100 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
|
|
Don't |
Pandemic (bioengineered) |
|
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Embryos |
80 |
World affairs, Philosophy |
75 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1880 |
10 |
Male |
22 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Student |
B. S. |
Single (and looking) |
Socialist (for example Scandinavian countries; socially permissive, high taxes and major redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Christian (United Methodist) |
|
1.% |
. |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
95 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2200 |
Defect |
Defect |
N/A |
|
Don't |
Environmental catastrophe (eg global warming) |
. |
No, never thought about it |
Atheism, Skepticism, Political debate, Political activism, Technology |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Other animals |
100 |
World affairs, Law, Energy/pollution/environment, Math and Physics, AI, Biology and Medicine |
99 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Deontologist |
1880 |
80 |
Male |
25 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
Masters |
Single (and looking) |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Labour; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
|
80 |
|
18 |
15 |
4 |
75 |
98 |
80 |
0.01 |
0.0001 |
0.001 |
10 |
60 |
5 |
Superhappies reprogram the human utility function |
Robin's: Whole brain emulations gradually reaching singularity status |
2060 |
Cooperate |
Defect |
60 |
|
Don't |
Unfriendly AI |
|
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps) |
80 |
Energy/pollution/environment, AI, Philosophy |
95 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1880 |
15 |
Male |
30 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
B. S. |
In a relationship |
Meta-Libertarian. Government as a service, providing infrastructure for smaller communities to define own political organization, and change it as required by environment |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was less religious than average |
Mixed |
120 |
90.% |
|
6 |
15 |
20 |
95 |
99 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
100 |
95 |
1 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
2045 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
60 |
|
Don't |
Unfriendly AI |
|
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
1 |
Math and Physics, AI, Biology and Medicine |
95 |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1880 |
99.% |
Male |
41 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Artificial Intelligence |
Unemployed |
Ph. D. |
Married |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
160 |
50 |
|
24 |
5 |
0 |
95 |
99 |
98 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2500 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
90 |
|
Give Omega $100 |
Nuclear war |
|
No, but considering it |
Political debate |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
95 |
Economics, World affairs, Energy/pollution/environment, Math and Physics, AI, Philosophy |
90 |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
Don't believe in morality |
1880 |
20 |
Male |
26 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Philosophy, Economics/Finance, Other computing, Other Social Sciences |
Other for-profit work |
Masters |
In a relationship |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was explicitly atheist |
|
|
90% of EY:s posts |
|
Since OB started. |
30 |
15 |
5 |
75 |
10 |
1 |
0.000001 |
3 |
40 |
10 |
70 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2040 |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
|
|
Don't |
Nanotechnology/"Grey goo" |
|
No, but considering it |
Political activism |
My moral system doesn't work like this, or I choose not to answer |
20 |
Economics, World affairs, Energy/pollution/environment, Psychology and Neurology, Philosophy |
60 |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
Don't believe in morality |
1880 |
95 |
Male |
31 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
None |
Divorced |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Deist / Pantheist / etc. |
Family was nonreligious |
|
|
10 |
. |
1 |
20 |
|
10 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
50 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
|
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
Pandemic (natural) |
. |
No, never thought about it |
Technology, Entrepreneurship |
My moral system doesn't work like this, or I choose not to answer |
5 |
|
99.999 |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
more complex |
1880 |
|
Male |
28 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other Hard Sciences |
Student |
Ph. D. |
Single (but not looking) |
Conservative (for example US Republicans or UK Tories; support "traditional" values, low taxes, low redistribution of wealth) |
Committed theist |
Family was less religious than average |
Roman Catholic |
164 |
90 |
. |
11 |
20 |
|
1 |
100 |
25 |
100 |
1 |
0 |
5 |
0.0000001 |
50 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
2100 |
Cooperate |
Defect |
75 |
|
Don't |
Pandemic (natural) |
. |
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Infants |
50 |
Math and Physics |
99 |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
Deontologist |
1880 |
80 |
Male |
24 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Philosophy, Psychology |
Student |
None |
Single (but not looking) |
political agnostic |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
|
300 |
|
5 |
|
|
99 |
95 |
90 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
90 |
50 |
Superhappies reprogram the human utility function |
Robin's: Whole brain emulations gradually reaching singularity status |
2070 |
Cooperate |
Defect |
|
|
Don't |
Unfriendly AI |
|
No, and don't plan to |
Atheism, Transhumanism |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans |
|
Math and Physics, AI, Biology and Medicine, Psychology and Neurology, Philosophy |
75 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
not sure |
1880 |
90 |
Male |
24 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Philosophy, Economics/Finance |
Academic (on the teaching end, not the student end) |
Masters |
Single (and looking) |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Labour; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was less religious than average |
Catholic |
154 |
90 |
|
6 |
15 |
|
50 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
1 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
|
Defect |
Defect |
70 |
|
Don't |
Asteroid strike |
|
No, and don't plan to |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Brain-dead adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps) |
60 |
Economics, Math and Physics, Philosophy |
99.5 |
True, for most normal charities (eg UNICEF) |
Virtue Ethics |
1880 |
30 |
Male |
30 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
None / Decline to answer |
Unemployed |
None |
Single (but not looking) |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Labour; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
|
90 |
|
30 |
10 |
|
70 |
70 |
60 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
20 |
30 |
10 |
Superhappies reprogram the human utility function |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2060 |
Cooperate |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
|
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
Environmental catastrophe (eg global warming) |
|
No, but considering it |
Atheism, Transhumanism |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
25 |
Philosophy |
65 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1880 |
80 |
Male |
20 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Philosophy, Economics/Finance |
Student |
B. S. |
In a relationship |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
145 |
50 |
. |
3 |
10 |
|
50 |
99 |
15 |
0.001 |
0.0001 |
0.001 |
45 |
5 |
55 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
|
Defect |
Defect |
50 |
|
Don't |
Environmental catastrophe (eg global warming) |
. |
No, but considering it |
Political debate |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
85 |
Economics, World affairs, Math and Physics, Philosophy |
98 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Deontologist |
1880 |
99 |
Male |
27 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
B. S. |
Single (but not looking) |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was less religious than average |
Roman Catholicism |
130 |
70% of Eliezer's, 15% of Robin's. |
. |
5 |
45 |
65 |
80 |
50 |
30 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
20 |
50 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2060 |
Defect |
Defect |
30 |
|
Don't |
Pandemic (bioengineered) |
. |
No, and don't plan to |
Atheism |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
35 |
Philosophy |
30 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1880 |
5 |
Male |
23 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Philosophy, Math |
Student |
B. S. |
In a relationship |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Christian, nondenominational |
|
~60%. probably all of Eliezer's, maybe half of Robin's, and less of the rest |
|
30 months (the inception of OB). Closely for about 15 months |
30 min |
96 |
50.% |
|
|
5.% |
2.% |
10.% |
10.% |
|
40.% |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Robin's: Whole brain emulations gradually reaching singularity status |
2150 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
|
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
Nuclear war |
|
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants |
|
Economics, Philosophy |
70.% |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1880 |
30.% |
Male |
22 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Student |
B. S. |
Single (and looking) |
Socialist (for example Scandinavian countries; socially permissive, high taxes and major redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
130 |
60 |
|
9 |
30 |
|
65 |
99.9 |
99.5 |
3 |
0.00001 |
5 |
0.1 |
20 |
1 |
Superhappies reprogram the human utility function |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2300 |
Cooperate |
Defect |
50 |
|
Give Omega $100 |
Nuclear war |
|
No, and don't plan to |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Brain-dead adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
90 |
|
87 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1880 |
15 |
Male |
|
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other Social Sciences |
Student |
Ph. D. |
In a relationship |
Libertarian + moderate taxes for intelligent social insurance / redistribution |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Protestant |
125 |
60 |
|
18 |
30 |
90 |
|
|
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
30 |
|
Superhappies reprogram the human utility function |
Robin's: Whole brain emulations gradually reaching singularity status |
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
10 |
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
Pandemic (bioengineered) |
|
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps) |
75 |
Economics, World affairs, Psychology and Neurology |
75 |
True, for most normal charities (eg UNICEF) |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1880 |
10 |
Male |
35 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
Masters |
In a relationship |
socially permissive, moderate taxes/redistribution (more than conservative, less than liberal) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
130 (std. dev. 15) |
60 Eliezer, 70 Robin |
|
3 years |
30 |
250 |
5 |
90 |
80 |
0.1 |
0.001 |
10 |
2 |
20 |
5 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Robin's: Whole brain emulations gradually reaching singularity status |
2050 |
Defect |
Defect |
75 |
|
Give Omega $100 |
Environmental catastrophe (eg global warming) |
|
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
75 |
Math and Physics, AI, Biology and Medicine, Psychology and Neurology, Philosophy |
95 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
|
1880 |
10 |
Male |
25 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing, Other Hard Sciences |
Other for-profit work |
B. S. |
Single (and looking) |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Tories; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was extremely religious |
Christian |
158 |
99 |
. |
28 |
20 |
60 |
90 |
90 |
10 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
10 |
10 |
2 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
2045 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
75 |
|
Give Omega $100 |
Environmental catastrophe (eg global warming) |
. |
No, but considering it |
Skepticism |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans |
60 |
Math and Physics, AI |
80 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Leaning toward a Drescher-like morality. |
1880 |
20 |
Male |
24 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Medicine |
Student |
M.D./ J.D./equivalent professional |
Single (and looking) |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Tories; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was less religious than average |
Reconstructionist Jewish |
|
95 |
|
16 |
70 |
|
70 |
90 |
50 |
10 |
5 |
15 |
15 |
33 |
25 |
Superhappies reprogram the human utility function |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2110 |
Cooperate |
Defect |
|
|
Don't |
Pandemic (bioengineered) |
|
No, and don't plan to |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
66 |
Biology and Medicine, Psychology and Neurology, Philosophy |
75 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1880 |
95 |
Male |
21 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
have crappy dayjob, but I read books and do math |
Other for-profit work |
None |
Single (but not looking) |
On Facebook, I list this as "Socially liberal, fiscally confused; I don't know how to run a goddam country, and neither do you." The tone is joking, but I really mean it. |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was less religious than average |
nominally reform Jewish |
131 (age 10 WISC-III) |
94 |
|
20 |
30 |
246 |
85 |
50 |
30 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
5 |
25 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2094 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
25 |
|
|
Unfriendly AI |
|
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
92 |
|
90 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
It's really, really complicated (cf. "Thou Art Godshatter") |
1881 |
5 |
Male |
35 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
B. S. |
Married |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Labour; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was extremely religious |
Christian |
148 |
2 |
|
1 |
60 |
|
10 |
99 |
60 |
|
0 |
|
5 |
20 |
20 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2030 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
50 |
|
|
Pandemic (bioengineered) |
|
No, and don't plan to |
|
Other animals |
98 |
|
92 |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
|
1883 |
75 |
Male |
25 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Artificial Intelligence, Other computing |
Unemployed |
Masters |
Single (but not looking) |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was extremely religious |
Christian Evangelical |
|
100 |
|
21 |
20 |
0 |
70 |
80 |
25 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
60 |
15 |
Superhappies reprogram the human utility function |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2080 |
Cooperate |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
|
|
Give Omega $100 |
Nuclear war |
|
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps) |
80 |
Economics, Math and Physics, AI, Philosophy |
50 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1885 |
20 |
Male |
23 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other Hard Sciences |
Student |
B. S. |
Single (and looking) |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Catholic |
162 |
60 |
|
11 |
15 |
|
80 |
60 |
20 |
2 |
0.1 |
10 |
40 |
70 |
15 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2025 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
60 |
|
|
Unfriendly AI |
|
No, but considering it |
Atheism, Skepticism, Technology, Transhumanism |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
85 |
Math and Physics, Biology and Medicine, Philosophy |
65 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1885 |
50 |
Male |
25 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Mathematics |
Student |
Ph. D. |
In a relationship |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Labour; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Catholic |
155 |
~100% of Eliezer, ~50% of Robin |
|
19 |
30 |
120 |
75 |
60 |
2 |
1 |
0.05 |
1 |
60 |
45 |
30 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2050 |
Defect |
Defect |
95 |
|
Give Omega $100 |
Nuclear war |
|
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants |
80 |
Economics, Math and Physics, Psychology and Neurology, Philosophy |
20 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1885 |
50 |
Male |
28 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
None / Decline to answer |
Unemployed |
Masters |
In a relationship |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Tories; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
128 |
60 |
. |
17 |
30 |
90 |
85 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
80 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
Superhappies reprogram the human utility function |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
|
Defect |
Defect |
10 |
|
Give Omega $100 |
Pandemic (bioengineered) |
|
No, and don't plan to |
Pick up artists, Spirituality/Religion |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants |
20 |
AI, Psychology and Neurology |
90 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1885 |
20 |
Male |
22 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Economics/Finance, Mathematics |
Student |
Ph. D. |
Married |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was extremely religious |
LDS |
|
90 |
|
24 |
120 |
300 |
60 |
90 |
50 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
0.05 |
1 |
Superhappies reprogram the human utility function |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
2150 |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
Defect |
|
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
Nanotechnology/"Grey goo" |
|
No, but considering it |
Atheism |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
80 |
Economics, World affairs, Math and Physics, Philosophy |
95 |
True, for most normal charities (eg UNICEF) |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1885 |
40 |
Male |
32 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing, Other Social Sciences |
Other non-profit work |
Masters |
Married |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was explicitly atheist |
|
140 |
20.% |
|
18 |
10 |
120 |
|
90 |
1 |
5 |
0 |
1 |
10 |
20 |
5 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2080 |
Defect |
Defect |
70 |
|
Give Omega $100 |
Pandemic (bioengineered) |
|
No, and don't plan to |
Political debate, Political activism, Technology, Transhumanism, Self-help |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Infants |
50 |
Economics, Biology and Medicine |
80 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
|
1885 |
10 |
Male |
23 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other Hard Sciences |
Student |
Masters |
Single (and looking) |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Labour; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, but "spiritual" |
Family was less religious than average |
Christian |
130 |
60 (All of Eliezer and some others) |
. |
6 |
20 |
8 |
95 |
85 |
70 |
2 |
0 |
75 |
40 |
5 |
50 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2150 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
30 |
|
Don't |
Asteroid strike |
. |
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
60 |
|
80 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1886 |
55 |
Male |
26 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Statistics, Medicine |
Student |
Masters |
In a relationship |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Labour; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was extremely religious |
Protestant |
|
About 30%. I've read more of Eliezer's post than I have Robin's. |
|
3 |
90 |
29 |
75 |
90 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
0.0000001 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
|
Defect |
Cooperate |
|
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
Pandemic (natural) |
|
No, but considering it |
Atheism, Skepticism |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
99 |
World affairs, Biology and Medicine, Psychology and Neurology |
75 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1887 |
5 |
Male |
28 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Economics/Finance, Other Social Sciences |
Unemployed |
Masters |
Single (but not looking) |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Agnostic |
Family was about average religiousity |
Roman Catholic |
|
91 |
|
16 |
30 |
10 |
60 |
99 |
66 |
4 |
0.075 |
0.04 |
1 |
0 |
12 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Robin's: Whole brain emulations gradually reaching singularity status |
2061 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
25 |
|
Don't |
Asteroid strike |
|
No, but considering it |
|
My moral system doesn't work like this, or I choose not to answer |
42 |
Economics, World affairs, Philosophy |
88 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Virtue Ethics |
1888 |
55 |
Male |
34 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
|
Other non-profit work |
Masters |
Married |
liberal or libertarian, depending on topic |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
|
0 |
|
0 |
0 |
|
|
99 |
50 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
|
Cooperate |
Defect |
|
|
Don't |
Pandemic (natural) |
|
No, never thought about it |
|
Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
20 |
World affairs, Biology and Medicine |
85 |
No opinion |
Don't believe in morality |
1889 |
5 |
Male |
32 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing, Other Hard Sciences |
Academic (on the teaching end, not the student end) |
Ph. D. |
In a relationship |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Agnostic |
Family was about average religiousity |
Christian, Episcopalian |
|
20 |
|
6 |
25 |
14 |
0.001 |
50 |
49 |
0 |
0 |
|
1 |
0.001 |
0.001 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
2300 |
Defect |
Defect |
|
|
Don't |
|
|
No, and don't plan to |
Technology |
My moral system doesn't work like this, or I choose not to answer |
75 |
Law, Math and Physics, AI |
99 |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
Don't believe in morality |
1890 |
10 |
Male |
30 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
B. S. |
Single (but not looking) |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Labour; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Catholic |
|
40 |
|
18 |
30 |
57 |
|
95 |
90 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
20 |
1 |
Superhappies reprogram the human utility function |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2060 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
|
|
Give Omega $100 |
Nuclear war |
|
No, and don't plan to |
Technology |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
80 |
Math and Physics, AI, Philosophy |
70 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1890 |
10 |
Male |
47 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
None / Decline to answer |
Other for-profit work |
None |
Single (but not looking) |
anarchist |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
episcopal / southern baptist |
156 |
99 |
|
30 |
40 |
160 |
60 |
99 |
99 |
0.0001 |
1E-13 |
0.0001 |
90 |
75 |
|
Humans blow up Huygens |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
2050 |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
Defect |
70 |
|
Don't |
Unfriendly AI |
|
No, and don't plan to |
|
My moral system doesn't work like this, or I choose not to answer |
10 |
Economics, Energy/pollution/environment, AI, Biology and Medicine, Psychology and Neurology |
90 |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
virtue ethics |
1890 |
50 |
Male |
24 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Student |
Masters |
Single (but not looking) |
|
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Orthodox Christianity |
|
70 |
|
20 |
90 |
700 |
90 |
90 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
15 |
15 |
1 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2060 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
|
|
Don't |
Unfriendly AI |
|
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps) |
30 |
Math and Physics, AI |
30 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1890 |
15 |
Male |
39 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Engineering |
Academic (on the teaching end, not the student end) |
Ph. D. |
Married |
Conservative (for example US Republicans or UK Tories; support "traditional" values, low taxes, low redistribution of wealth) |
Agnostic |
Family was extremely religious |
catholic |
150 |
300 |
|
10 |
60 |
|
75 |
80 |
20 |
50 |
20 |
20 |
25 |
40 |
10 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Robin's: Whole brain emulations gradually reaching singularity status |
2200 |
Cooperate |
Defect |
30 |
|
Don't |
Asteroid strike |
|
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Brain-dead adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Embryos |
5 |
Economics, Energy/pollution/environment, Math and Physics |
95 |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
|
1890 |
20 |
Male |
24 |
Asian |
Other computing |
Student |
Ph. D. |
Single (and looking) |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Hindu |
|
60 |
|
20 |
15 |
|
90 |
80 |
10 |
20 |
1 |
5 |
5 |
10 |
20 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2100 |
Cooperate |
Defect |
|
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
Nuclear war |
|
No, but considering it |
Self-help |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
70 |
|
30 |
True, for most normal charities (eg UNICEF) |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1890 |
10 |
Male |
21 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Philosophy |
Student |
B. S. |
Single (but not looking) |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Catholic |
~130, Stanford-Binet childhood test |
75 |
|
Since the beginning |
10 |
160 |
80 |
60 |
50 |
5 |
10 |
1 |
15 |
18 |
10 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
Robin's: Whole brain emulations gradually reaching singularity status |
2070 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
40 |
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
Nanotechnology/"Grey goo" |
|
No, but considering it |
Technology, Transhumanism |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
50 |
Economics, Law, AI, Philosophy |
30 |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1890 |
20 |
Male |
30 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
Masters |
In a relationship |
Socialist (for example Scandinavian countries; socially permissive, high taxes and major redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
|
45 |
. |
12 |
15 |
|
75 |
99.999 |
50 |
|
0 |
|
50 |
50 |
|
No preference / Didn't read it |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2040 |
Defect |
Defect |
|
|
Don't |
Unfriendly AI |
. |
No, and don't plan to |
Technology |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Embryos, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
80 |
|
50 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
|
1890 |
10 |
Male |
26 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
B. S. |
In a relationship |
Conservative (for example US Republicans or UK Tories; support "traditional" values, low taxes, low redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, but "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Christian |
|
70 |
. |
18 |
50 |
0 |
60 |
97 |
88 |
1 |
0.000001 |
2 |
4 |
4 |
0.7 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
|
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
|
|
Give Omega $100 |
Pandemic (bioengineered) |
|
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans |
80 |
Math and Physics |
95 |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
|
1890 |
30 |
Male |
26 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
B. S. |
Single (and looking) |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Agnostic |
Family was less religious than average |
Christian Scientist |
|
< 1% |
|
found today |
0 |
0 |
50 |
75 |
20 |
0 |
5 |
0 |
5 |
20 |
0.01 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2035 |
Defect |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
|
|
|
Environmental catastrophe (eg global warming) |
|
No, and don't plan to |
Technology |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Brain-dead adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Embryos, Higher primates (eg chimps) |
90 |
World affairs, Math and Physics |
90 |
True, for most normal charities (eg UNICEF) |
|
1890 |
40 |
Male |
31 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Statistics, Other Hard Sciences |
Student |
Ph. D. |
Married |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Tories; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was less religious than average |
|
|
95% of all posts |
|
27 |
60 |
180 |
50 |
100 |
100 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
75 |
20 |
20 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
2039 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
|
|
Don't |
Environmental catastrophe (eg global warming) |
|
No, and don't plan to |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
97 |
Biology and Medicine |
50 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
|
1890 |
20 |
Male |
21 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Philosophy |
Student |
B. S. |
In a relationship |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Tories; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was less religious than average |
Catholic |
|
400 |
|
8 |
80 |
130 |
30 |
99.99 |
90 |
0.0000001 |
0 |
0.0001 |
3 |
15 |
5 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Robin's: Whole brain emulations gradually reaching singularity status |
2200 |
Defect |
Defect |
|
|
Don't |
Pandemic (bioengineered) |
|
No, but considering it |
Atheism, Political debate, Political activism |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
95 |
World affairs, Law, Philosophy |
97 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1890 |
10 |
Male |
21 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Statistics, Psychology, Artificial Intelligence, Other computing |
Student |
B. S. |
Single (but not looking) |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Labour; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Jewish (Reform) |
|
60 |
|
11 |
30 |
|
90 |
99.999 |
90 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
33 |
1 (continuous biological life), 40 (subjective age, possibly discontinuous or not biologically embodied) |
|
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2040 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
|
|
Give Omega $100 |
Unfriendly AI |
|
No, but considering it |
Technology |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants |
90 |
Economics, Math and Physics, AI, Biology and Medicine, Psychology and Neurology, Philosophy |
50 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1890 |
40 |
Male |
30 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Economics/Finance |
Other for-profit work |
Masters |
In a relationship |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
protestant |
150 |
40 |
|
13 |
10 |
|
5 |
25 |
0.5 |
0.001 |
0 |
0.001 |
10 |
0.001 |
5 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
|
Defect |
Defect |
75 |
|
Don't |
Nuclear war |
|
No, and don't plan to |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
40 |
Economics, Math and Physics, Philosophy |
90 |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1890 |
25 |
|
28 |
|
Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
None |
Single (but not looking) |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Agnostic |
Family was about average religiousity |
Christian (non-denominational) |
|
10 |
|
6 |
20 |
|
|
95 |
90 |
|
|
|
20 |
60 |
|
No preference / Didn't read it |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
2050 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
|
|
Give Omega $100 |
Nanotechnology/"Grey goo" |
|
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses |
60 |
World affairs |
70 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Deontologist |
1890 |
40 |
Male |
30 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
Masters |
Single (and looking) |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Catholic |
|
20 |
|
12 |
45 |
233 |
|
25 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
25 |
0 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2050 |
Defect |
Defect |
|
|
Don't |
Asteroid strike |
|
No, and don't plan to |
|
My moral system doesn't work like this, or I choose not to answer |
20 |
Economics, Math and Physics, Psychology and Neurology |
99 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Egoism (closest I can find) |
1890 |
20 |
Male |
22 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other Hard Sciences |
Student |
Masters |
In a relationship |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
|
100 |
|
12 |
30 |
|
100 |
90 |
20 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25 |
50 |
25 |
Superhappies reprogram the human utility function |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2048 |
Defect |
Defect |
|
|
Give Omega $100 |
Unfriendly AI |
|
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans |
20 |
Economics, Math and Physics, Philosophy |
50 |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1890 |
20 |
Male |
22 |
Black |
Electrical Eng |
Student |
Ph. D. |
Single (and looking) |
Agnostic |
Committed theist |
Family was extremely religious |
Christianity |
|
100 |
. |
21 |
30 |
|
97 |
100 |
|
100 |
100 |
0 |
|
98 |
|
Superhappies reprogram the human utility function |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2043 |
Defect |
Defect |
|
|
Don't |
Pandemic (bioengineered) |
. |
No, but considering it |
Technology, Spirituality/Religion |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Brain-dead adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
100 |
Economics, World affairs, Energy/pollution/environment, Math and Physics, AI, Biology and Medicine, Philosophy |
96 |
True, for most normal charities (eg UNICEF) |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1890 |
15 |
Male |
28 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
Masters |
In a relationship |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
|
95 |
. |
24 |
30 |
215 |
50 |
95 |
50 |
0.1 |
0 |
0 |
60 |
70 |
10 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
2025 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
|
|
Give Omega $100 |
Unfriendly AI |
|
No, but considering it |
Atheism, Political debate, Self-help |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
90 |
World affairs, Math and Physics, AI, Psychology and Neurology |
75 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1890 |
25 |
Male |
22 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Philosophy, mathematics |
Student |
Ph. D. |
Single (and looking) |
apolitical |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was extremely religious |
roman catholic |
|
100 |
. |
18 |
30 |
0 |
20 |
5 |
2 |
7 |
2 |
10 |
5 |
5 |
10 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
Robin's: Whole brain emulations gradually reaching singularity status |
2250 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
|
|
Don't |
Nuclear war |
. |
No, but considering it |
|
My moral system doesn't work like this, or I choose not to answer |
7 |
Math and Physics, Philosophy |
90 |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1890 |
30 |
Male |
21 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing, Mathmatics |
Student |
B. S. |
Single (and looking) |
Socialist (for example Scandinavian countries; socially permissive, high taxes and major redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Mother nonreligious, father explicitly atheist |
|
|
I have read ~400 of Eliezers and maybe 100 of Robins |
|
1 |
300 |
|
95.% |
99.999 |
90 |
0.0001 |
0.00001 |
0.000001 |
1 |
10 |
50.% |
Superhappies reprogram the human utility function |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
2200 |
Cooperate |
Defect |
|
|
Don't |
Environmental catastrophe (eg global warming) |
|
No, but considering it |
Atheism, Technology |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, My moral system doesn't work like this, or I choose not to answer |
99 |
|
10 |
No opinion |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1890 |
5 |
Male |
22 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Philosophy, Economics/Finance |
Student |
B. S. |
Single (and looking) |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Catholic |
|
>95% (all Eliezer, most Robin) |
|
~24 months |
15-20 |
80 |
80 |
90 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
70 |
1 |
5 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Robin's: Whole brain emulations gradually reaching singularity status |
2080 |
Defect |
Defect |
|
|
Give Omega $100 |
Asteroid strike |
|
No, but considering it |
Atheism, Political debate |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants |
80 |
Economics, Philosophy |
95 |
True, for most normal charities (eg UNICEF) |
Rule Utilitarian |
1890 |
20 |
Male |
22 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other Social Sciences |
Other non-profit work |
B. S. |
In a relationship |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Labour; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Roman Catholic |
|
33 |
|
12 |
60 |
20 |
70 |
40 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
70 |
40 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2043 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
|
|
Give Omega $100 |
Unfriendly AI |
|
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans |
67 |
|
80 |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1891 |
33 |
Male |
51 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
None / Decline to answer |
Unemployed |
Masters |
Single (and looking) |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Labour; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was explicitly atheist |
|
155 |
4 |
|
6 |
5 |
0 |
50 |
99 |
98 |
0.001 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
|
|
|
2100 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
50 |
|
Don't |
Nanotechnology/"Grey goo" |
|
No, never thought about it |
Atheism |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Embryos, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
78 |
|
55 |
True, for most normal charities (eg UNICEF) |
|
1892 |
38 |
Male |
30 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
None / Decline to answer |
Other for-profit work |
B. S. |
In a relationship |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Jewish (Conservative) |
150 |
80 |
|
10 |
20 |
50 |
5 |
70 |
60 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
15 |
20 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2090 |
Defect |
Defect |
80 |
|
Give Omega $100 |
Pandemic (bioengineered) |
|
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants |
95 |
Economics, World affairs, Law, Math and Physics |
75 |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
Deontologist |
1895 |
45 |
Male |
28 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
B. S. |
Married |
no political philosophy except pragmatism, but default to libertarian policy if the arguments for anything else aren't persuasive |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
|
all |
|
|
|
34 |
98 |
50 |
1 |
0.00001 |
0.00000001 |
0.0001 |
50 |
40 |
0.00001 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2200 |
Cooperate |
Defect |
|
|
Don't |
Nuclear war |
|
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps) |
75 |
Economics, World affairs, Math and Physics |
75 |
No opinion |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1895 |
40 |
Male |
29 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing, non-profit |
Other non-profit work |
None |
In a relationship |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Labour; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
mother was very religious, father was atheist |
catholic |
|
70 |
. |
14 |
25 |
1 |
75 |
0.5 |
5E-10 |
0.000005 |
5E-15 |
0.05 |
23 |
31 |
0.5 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2124 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
|
|
Give Omega $100 |
Nanotechnology/"Grey goo" |
. |
No, but considering it |
Atheism, Technology |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
99.95 |
Energy/pollution/environment, Math and Physics |
32 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1895 |
40 |
Male |
58 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Unemployed |
B. S. |
In a relationship |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Tories; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Agnostic |
Family was about average religiousity |
Protestant (Church of Christ) |
140 |
20.% |
|
12 |
10 |
|
66 |
45 |
22 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
10 |
5 |
1 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
2049 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
66 |
|
Give Omega $100 |
Environmental catastrophe (eg global warming) |
|
No, and don't plan to |
Technology |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
80 |
AI, Psychology and Neurology |
50 |
True, for most normal charities (eg UNICEF) |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1898 |
66 |
Female |
19 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other Social Sciences |
Student |
B. A. |
In a relationship |
Socialist (for example Scandinavian countries; socially permissive, high taxes and major redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was less religious than average |
Christian |
|
~85% |
|
~22 |
30 |
|
77 |
60 |
8 |
0.0001 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
32 |
0.01 |
Superhappies reprogram the human utility function |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2500 |
Cooperate |
Defect |
|
|
Don't |
Environmental catastrophe (eg global warming) |
|
No, and don't plan to |
Atheism, Skepticism, Political debate |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
88 |
|
70 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1899 |
15 |
Male |
23 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Electrical/ Computer Engineering |
Other for-profit work |
B. S. |
In a relationship |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
139 |
10% (mostly Eliezer's) |
|
1 |
20 |
|
51 |
5 |
0.01 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
5 |
|
No preference / Didn't read it |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
Cooperate |
40 |
|
Give Omega $100 |
Nuclear war |
|
No, and don't plan to |
Atheism |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps) |
75 (depending on the definition of "soon") |
Economics, World affairs, Math and Physics |
70 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
|
1900 |
20 |
Male |
27 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other Hard Sciences |
Student |
Ph. D. |
Married |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Labour; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
|
5 |
|
1 |
45 |
0 |
75 |
100 |
100 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
50 |
50 |
0 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Robin's: Whole brain emulations gradually reaching singularity status |
|
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
|
|
Don't |
Nuclear war |
|
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
100 |
World affairs, Energy/pollution/environment, Math and Physics, Philosophy |
99 |
No opinion |
|
1900 |
1 |
Male |
40 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
graphic & web design |
Other for-profit work |
Masters |
In a relationship |
Socialist (for example Scandinavian countries; socially permissive, high taxes and major redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
|
20.% |
. |
6 |
30 |
7 |
10 |
99.99 |
99 |
0.001 |
0.000001 |
0.01 |
10 |
10 |
0.01 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2100 |
Cooperate |
Defect |
|
|
Don't |
Nuclear war |
. |
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
95 |
Economics, World affairs, Energy/pollution/environment, Philosophy |
90 |
True, for most normal charities (eg UNICEF) |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1900 |
50 |
Male |
17 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Economics/Finance, Statistics, Other computing |
Student |
Masters |
Single (and looking) |
Apolitical. My opinion does't matter so it's not worth constructing. |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
I'd say they are quietly but powerfully religious. |
Evangelical christian |
|
50, but I often stopped reading partway through. |
|
18? |
40 |
179 |
|
90.% |
0.0077% |
2.% |
0.5% |
4.% |
|
|
|
Superhappies reprogram the human utility function |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
|
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
|
|
Don't |
Pandemic (bioengineered) |
|
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Brain-dead adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Embryos, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
|
|
|
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
I don't know what the first three options mean. |
1900 |
20 |
Male |
23 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Artificial Intelligence, Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
None |
Single (and looking) |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Charismatic Christians |
|
7.% |
|
3.7 |
90 |
110 |
|
|
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
|
0 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
|
Defect |
Defect |
|
|
Don't |
Pandemic (bioengineered) |
|
No, but considering it |
Political debate, Political activism |
Healthy, productive, adult humans |
|
Math and Physics, AI, Philosophy |
|
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1900 |
1.% |
Female |
20 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Philosophy |
Student |
Ph. D. |
Single (but not looking) |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Tories; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was explicitly atheist |
|
unknown due to limitations of test; at least 150 |
40.% |
|
6 |
90 (some of that compulsively refreshing the comments page) |
300 |
|
80 |
20 |
1 |
0.1 |
1 |
2 |
|
5 |
Superhappies reprogram the human utility function |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
2150 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
30 |
|
Don't |
Nuclear war |
|
No, and don't plan to |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
80 |
World affairs, Psychology and Neurology, Philosophy |
85 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Basically deontic, but don't wish to be associated with classic deontology |
1900 |
5.% |
Male |
24 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
B. S. |
Single (but not looking) |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Labour; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Catholic |
163 |
50.% |
|
6 |
20 |
0 |
70 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
70 |
|
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2050 |
Cooperate |
Defect |
70 |
|
Don't |
Unfriendly AI |
|
No, but considering it |
Atheism, Technology |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
75 |
AI, Philosophy |
95 |
No opinion |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1900 |
10 |
Male |
19 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Economics/Finance |
Student |
None |
Single (and looking) |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was extremely religious |
Christian |
130 |
100 |
|
8 |
10 |
0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
5 |
2 |
|
Humans blow up Huygens |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
|
Defect |
Cooperate |
60 |
|
Give Omega $100 |
Pandemic (natural) |
|
No, but considering it |
Technology, Entrepreneurship, Pick up artists |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Infants, Fetuses |
|
Economics |
|
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
Don't believe in morality |
1900 |
5 |
Male |
51 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
Masters |
Married |
|
Committed theist |
Family was less religious than average |
Christian |
144 |
40 |
|
20 |
15 |
0 |
10 |
10 |
0.0001 |
41 |
40 |
42 |
10 |
1 |
1 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
2200 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
20 |
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
Environmental catastrophe (eg global warming) |
|
No, and don't plan to |
Spirituality/Religion |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Brain-dead adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Embryos, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
60 |
Economics, World affairs, AI |
70 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
|
1900 |
20 |
Male |
22 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing, Electrical Engineering |
Other for-profit work |
B. S. |
Single (and looking) |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Labour; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
|
40 |
|
12 |
30 |
7 |
50 |
50 |
50 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
50 |
50 |
50 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
Robin's: Whole brain emulations gradually reaching singularity status |
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
50 |
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
Environmental catastrophe (eg global warming) |
|
No, and don't plan to |
Atheism, Skepticism, Technology |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
90 |
Math and Physics |
50 |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
Deontologist |
1900 |
50 |
Male |
21 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
None / Decline to answer |
Unemployed |
None |
Single (but not looking) |
Socialist (for example Scandinavian countries; socially permissive, high taxes and major redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Baptist |
134 |
0 |
. |
0 |
0 |
|
50 |
100 |
50 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
|
Cooperate |
Defect |
50 |
|
Don't |
Environmental catastrophe (eg global warming) |
. |
No, and don't plan to |
Atheism, Skepticism, Political debate, Political activism, Technology |
My moral system doesn't work like this, or I choose not to answer |
99 |
World affairs, Energy/pollution/environment, Psychology and Neurology |
75 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Don't believe in morality |
1901 |
5 |
Male |
24 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other Hard Sciences |
Student |
Ph. D. |
In a relationship |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was less religious than average |
Jewish, but celebrated Christmas |
|
80 |
. |
30 |
60 |
48 |
60 |
15 |
2 |
1 |
0.01 |
2 |
15 |
20 |
20 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2035 |
Cooperate |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
|
|
Give Omega $100 |
Unfriendly AI |
|
No, but considering it |
Transhumanism |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
50 |
Math and Physics, AI |
25 |
True, for most normal charities (eg UNICEF) |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1903 |
55 |
Male |
27 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
Masters |
Married |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Tories; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
New Age |
|
90 |
|
11 |
30 |
120 |
80 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
50 |
|
No preference / Didn't read it |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2200 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
|
|
Give Omega $100 |
Unfriendly AI |
|
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans |
20 |
|
50 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1903 |
50 |
Male |
31 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Artificial Intelligence |
Other for-profit work |
B. S. |
Single (and looking) |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Tories; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was extremely religious |
Mormon |
165 |
30.% |
|
7 |
20 |
50 |
60 |
95 |
90 |
0.000001 |
1E-11 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.1 |
1 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Robin's: Whole brain emulations gradually reaching singularity status |
2200 |
Defect |
Defect |
70 |
|
Give Omega $100 |
Nuclear war |
|
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants |
60 |
Math and Physics, AI |
90 |
True, for most normal charities (eg UNICEF) |
|
1905 |
30 |
Male |
22 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other Hard Sciences |
Student |
B. S. |
Single (and looking) |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was less religious than average |
Methodist |
|
40 |
. |
12 |
30 |
|
15 |
90 |
50 |
0.001 |
0.1 |
5 |
30 |
40 |
|
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2050 |
Defect |
Cooperate |
|
|
Give Omega $100 |
Unfriendly AI |
|
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants |
70 |
Economics, World affairs, Law, Math and Physics, AI, Psychology and Neurology, Philosophy |
75 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1905 |
10 |
Male |
27 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
B. S. |
Married |
|
Lukewarm theist |
Family was extremely religious |
Christian, fundamentalist |
|
8.% |
|
2 |
25 |
|
5.% |
95.% |
75.% |
1.% |
0.05% |
1.% |
1.% |
80.% |
1.% |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2030 |
Cooperate |
Defect |
|
|
Don't |
Pandemic (bioengineered) |
|
No, but considering it |
Spirituality/Religion |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
80.% |
|
65.% |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
not sure |
1905 |
20.% |
Male |
23 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
None / Decline to answer |
Unemployed |
associates degree |
Single (but not looking) |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Tories; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
139 |
100.% |
|
since they started |
5 |
53 |
95 |
99 |
99 |
0 |
0.01 |
0 |
50 |
50 |
99 |
Superhappies reprogram the human utility function |
Robin's: Whole brain emulations gradually reaching singularity status |
2040 |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
85 |
|
Give Omega $100 |
Nuclear war |
|
No, but considering it |
|
My moral system doesn't work like this, or I choose not to answer |
100 |
World affairs, Energy/pollution/environment, AI, Philosophy |
50 |
|
Don't believe in morality |
1905 |
40.% |
Male |
20 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Mathematics |
Student |
B. S. |
In a relationship |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
|
80.% |
|
20 |
20 |
0 |
75 |
100 |
100 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
20 |
80 |
90 |
Superhappies reprogram the human utility function |
Robin's: Whole brain emulations gradually reaching singularity status |
2080 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
|
|
Give Omega $100 |
Nanotechnology/"Grey goo" |
|
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
50 |
Math and Physics, Philosophy |
70 |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
Contract theory |
1906 |
15 |
Male |
24 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Economics/Finance |
Other for-profit work |
None |
Single (and looking) |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was less religious than average |
Christianity |
166 with SD of 24, ie. 2,75 standard deviations above |
Most |
. |
No idea. Probably since the beginning. |
5 minutes |
None |
90 |
70 |
N/A |
2 |
0,05 |
2 |
99 |
20 |
5 |
Superhappies reprogram the human utility function |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2100 |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
66 |
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
Pandemic (bioengineered) |
. |
No, but considering it |
Atheism, Political debate, Political activism, Technology, Entrepreneurship, Pick up artists |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants |
30 |
Economics, World affairs, Energy/pollution/environment, Psychology and Neurology |
95 |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1909 |
20 |
Male |
25 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Student |
B. S. |
Single (but not looking) |
|
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
|
95 |
|
30 |
15 |
3 |
90 |
|
|
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.1 |
50 |
1 |
0.1 |
|
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
2300 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
|
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
Environmental catastrophe (eg global warming) |
|
No, but considering it |
Technology |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
75 |
|
75 |
|
do not know the definitions well enough to classify myself |
1910 |
25 |
Male |
32 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
None |
Single (and looking) |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
christian |
|
90 (Eliezer only) |
|
40 |
10 |
|
98 |
100 |
50 |
0 |
0 |
0.5 |
80 |
75 |
0 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2030 |
Cooperate |
Defect |
|
|
Don't |
Unfriendly AI |
|
No, but considering it |
Atheism, Transhumanism |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses |
90 |
|
99 |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1910 |
25 |
Male |
25 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other Hard Sciences |
Other for-profit work |
B. S. |
Single (but not looking) |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Agnostic |
Family was extremely religious |
Christian |
|
|
. |
1 |
10 |
|
|
50 |
1 |
20 |
5 |
50 |
75 |
95 |
20 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
|
Defect |
Cooperate |
|
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
Environmental catastrophe (eg global warming) |
. |
No, never thought about it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
50 |
Economics, World affairs, Energy/pollution/environment, Math and Physics, AI, Biology and Medicine, Psychology and Neurology, Philosophy |
95 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1910 |
5 |
Male |
29 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Economics/Finance, Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
BMath |
Single (and looking) |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Catholic |
|
40.% |
. |
6 |
20 |
|
2 |
100 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15 |
15 |
|
Humans blow up Huygens |
Robin's: Whole brain emulations gradually reaching singularity status |
2070 |
Cooperate |
Defect |
|
|
Don't |
Asteroid strike |
. |
No, but considering it |
Technology, Transhumanism, Pick up artists, Self-help |
My moral system doesn't work like this, or I choose not to answer |
10 |
|
99 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1910 |
0 |
Male |
25 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
B. S. |
Married |
Conservative (for example US Republicans or UK Tories; support "traditional" values, low taxes, low redistribution of wealth) |
Lukewarm theist |
Family was extremely religious |
Christian (Charismatic) |
130 |
50.% |
|
6 |
30 |
2 |
|
100.% |
90.% |
25.% |
5.% |
10.% |
0.5% |
0.5% |
0.% |
Humans blow up Huygens |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
2100 |
Defect |
Defect |
50.% |
|
Give Omega $100 |
Nuclear war |
|
No, and don't plan to |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
75.% |
|
80.% |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1910 |
30.% |
Male |
21 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Economics/Finance, Mathematics |
Student |
B. S. |
In a relationship |
Not interested in politics |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was explicitly atheist |
|
129 |
60%, Eliezer and Robin, but mostly Eliezer |
|
24 (I'm guessing, but definitely more than 18) |
30 |
0 |
|
|
|
approximately zero |
approximately zero |
|
2 (it's worth signing up) |
40 |
|
No preference / Didn't read it |
Robin's: Whole brain emulations gradually reaching singularity status |
2150 |
Cooperate |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
20 |
|
|
Nanotechnology/"Grey goo" |
|
No, but considering it |
|
My moral system doesn't work like this, or I choose not to answer |
|
Economics, Math and Physics, Psychology and Neurology |
95 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Don't believe in morality |
1910 |
10.% |
Male |
23 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other Hard Sciences |
Student |
Ph. D. |
Single (and looking) |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Tories; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Christian |
|
All of Eliezer's, probably 40% of Robin's |
|
18 |
120 |
1097 |
90 |
98 |
50 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
40 |
40 |
20 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2070 |
Cooperate |
Cooperate |
|
|
Give Omega $100 |
Nanotechnology/"Grey goo" |
|
No, but considering it |
Atheism, Skepticism |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps) |
80 |
Math and Physics, Philosophy |
70 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1915 |
25 |
Male |
24 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Philosophy, Artificial Intelligence, Other computing |
Student |
B. S. |
In a relationship |
|
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Pentecostal Christian |
|
25.% |
|
12 |
40 |
16 |
|
95 |
40 |
0.005 |
0.0005 |
0.05 |
|
|
|
No preference / Didn't read it |
Robin's: Whole brain emulations gradually reaching singularity status |
|
Cooperate |
Defect |
|
|
Don't |
Nuclear war |
|
No, but considering it |
Technology, Entrepreneurship |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
20 |
Philosophy |
80 |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
Deontologist |
1920 |
60 |
Male |
22 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other Hard Sciences |
Student |
Ph. D. |
Single (but not looking) |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Labour; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Christian (Catholic) |
|
10 |
|
12 |
30 |
|
50 |
70 |
40 |
0.01 |
0.00001 |
10 |
45 |
40-70, depending on how age is counted (eg, whether time spent frozen count) |
50 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Robin's: Whole brain emulations gradually reaching singularity status |
2150 |
Cooperate |
Defect |
|
|
Don't |
Nanotechnology/"Grey goo" |
|
No, but considering it |
Political debate |
My moral system doesn't work like this, or I choose not to answer |
80 |
Math and Physics |
95 |
True, for most normal charities (eg UNICEF) |
No consistent, complete, justified moral theory exists. In practice, Consquentialist |
1920 |
20 |
Male |
23 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
B. S. |
Single (and looking) |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Reform Jewish |
148 |
30 |
|
6 |
60 |
58 |
80 |
80 |
50 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
20 |
1 |
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
|
Defect |
Defect |
55 |
|
Give Omega $100 |
Nuclear war |
|
No, but considering it |
Skepticism, Political debate, Technology, Entrepreneurship |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
15 |
Economics, Energy/pollution/environment, Math and Physics, AI |
50 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (Eliezer's interpretation) |
1920 |
30 |
Male |
25 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other Hard Sciences |
Other for-profit work |
Masters |
Single (and looking) |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Episcopalian (Protestant) |
|
15% of Eliezer's |
|
2 |
10 |
0 |
|
|
|
1 |
0 |
2 |
15 |
1 |
|
No preference / Didn't read it |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
|
Cooperate |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
|
|
Don't |
Environmental catastrophe (eg global warming) |
|
No, but considering it |
Atheism, Political activism, Entrepreneurship |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps) |
98 |
Economics, World affairs, Energy/pollution/environment, Math and Physics |
40 |
True, for most normal charities (eg UNICEF) |
Desire utilitarian |
1926 |
30 |
Male |
30 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Philosophy, Artificial Intelligence, Other computing, computer ethics |
Student |
Ph. D. |
Married |
These categories are meaningless. Parties and even labels such as "conservative" or "liberal" are more reflective of political coalitions than ideologies. |
|
Family was about average religiousity |
Catholic / Episcopal / other Christian |
|
99 |
|
24 |
30 |
600 |
0 |
100 |
100 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0.01 |
0 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
|
|
Don't |
|
|
No, and don't plan to |
|
My moral system doesn't work like this, or I choose not to answer |
I think the notion of 'cause' here is confused. |
Economics, World affairs, Law, Energy/pollution/environment, Math and Physics, AI, Biology and Medicine, Psychology and Neurology, Philosophy |
99.9 |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
virtue ethics - I can't believe this isn't an option! What is this, the 19th century? |
2172 |
0 |
Male |
38 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Musician |
Academic (on the teaching end, not the student end) |
Ph. D. |
Married |
Left Libertarian |
Agnostic |
Family was less religious than average |
|
158 |
20 |
|
1.5 |
25 |
|
10 |
100 |
100 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0.005 |
99 |
80 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2045 |
Cooperate |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
45 |
|
Don't |
Nuclear war |
|
No, but considering it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
98 |
World affairs, Energy/pollution/environment, Biology and Medicine, Psychology and Neurology |
51 |
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Consequentialist (generic interpretation) |
1892 (attempted) |
10 |
Male |
21 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Economics/Finance |
Other non-profit work |
B. S. |
Married |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was about average religiousity |
Lutheran |
160 |
20%? |
. |
8 |
45 |
|
|
|
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
|
|
No preference / Didn't read it |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
Too much uncertainty |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
60 |
|
Don't |
Asteroid strike |
. |
No, but considering it |
Atheism, Technology, Transhumanism |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Fetuses, Embryos, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
|
Economics, World affairs, Energy/pollution/environment, Biology and Medicine, Psychology and Neurology, Philosophy |
|
Possibly true, but only for a few outstanding charities |
Evolutionary rule discovery, converging on non-aggression principle |
19th century |
90 |
Male |
22 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
None / Decline to answer |
Student |
|
Single (but not looking) |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Labour; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, but "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
|
90 |
|
|
15 |
0 |
98 |
80 |
20 |
|
1 |
|
|
2 |
|
Humans blow up Huygens |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
Defect |
|
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
Environmental catastrophe (eg global warming) |
|
No, never thought about it |
|
My moral system doesn't work like this, or I choose not to answer |
|
Math and Physics |
70 |
No opinion |
Don't believe in morality |
|
0 |
Male |
35 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Female |
30 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
IT |
Other for-profit work |
B. S. |
Single (but not looking) |
Liberal (for example, US Democrats and UK Labour; socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, but "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
170 |
50 |
|
6 |
60 |
0 |
|
99 |
50 |
0 |
5 |
10 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
No preference / Didn't read it |
No preference / Don't believe in the Singularity |
|
Cooperate |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
30 |
|
|
Nuclear war |
|
No, never thought about it |
|
Healthy, productive, adult humans |
80 |
|
100 |
No opinion |
|
|
|
Male |
27 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Economics/Finance, Other computing |
Other for-profit work |
B. S. |
In a relationship |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was nonreligious |
|
|
|
|
36 |
20 |
|
40 |
60 |
|
2 |
|
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Technology |
|
|
Economics, AI, Psychology and Neurology, Philosophy |
|
|
|
|
|
Male |
60 |
White (non-Hispanic) |
Other computing |
Unemployed |
Masters |
Single (but not looking) |
Libertarian (for example US Libertarian Party; socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no redistribution of wealth) |
Atheist, and not "spiritual" |
Family was extremely religious |
Baptist |
|
40 |
|
3 |
20 |
No idea |
0 |
100 |
99 |
0 |
0 |
|
10 |
90 |
|
Superhappies reprogram the human utility function |
Eliezer's: A singleton AI suddenly reaching singularity status |
2030 |
Cooperate |
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
|
|
No preference / Depends / Don't understand |
Nuclear war |
|
No, but considering it |
Political debate, Transhumanism |
Healthy, productive, adult humans, Healthy, unproductive adult humans, Infants, Higher primates (eg chimps), Other animals |
2 |
Economics |
99 |
False for all charities, or it is prohibitively difficult to identify charities for which it is true. |
Deontologist |
|
|